Week 14 of the 2021 NFL season continues Sunday, December 12, so we’re breaking down the AFC North showdown from FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland to get you the best Ravens vs. Browns betting pick and odds.
Back in Week 12, Baltimore outlasted Cleveland 16-10 as a 3-point home fave. The Ravens are 2.5-point road underdogs this time around, while the Browns are -135 moneyline favorites with a total of 42.5 points on Bookmaker Sportsbook.
The Ravens aim for their fifth straight win over Cleveland
The Baltimore Ravens (8-4; 5-7 ATS) have owned the Browns over the last few years. They are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four meetings with Cleveland, so the Ravens hope to extend their dominance in this matchup and bounce back from a tough defeat in Week 13.
Baltimore lost at Pittsburgh 20-19 last Sunday to stop a two-game win streak. With 12 seconds left on the clock in the fourth quarter, the Ravens gambled on a two-point conversion and got burned. It was a tough loss for the Ravens, who surrendered 17 fourth-quarter points to the Steelers, while Pro Bowl cornerback Marlon Humphrey suffered a season-ending injury.
With 17 players on their injury list, the Ravens will have a difficult job at FirstEnergy Stadium. Their offense hasn’t hit a 20-point mark in four straight outings, while Lamar Jackson has thrown a whopping eight interceptions in that span.
The Browns are in a must-win situation
The Cleveland Browns (6-6; 5-7 ATS) are coming off a bye, looking to bounce back from that 16-10 defeat at Baltimore. Baker Mayfield desperately needed some rest to heal his injuries like the Browns need a victory over the Ravens to stay alive in the playoff race.
Mayfield completed only 18 of his 37 passing attempts in Week 12. He tossed for 247 yards and a TD, but the Browns couldn’t get it going on the ground and finished with only 40 rushing yards on 17 attempts.
Cleveland held the ball in possession for 22:56, allowing the Ravens to control the game and finish the job down the stretch. The Browns are now tied with Baltimore for the third-most rushing yards per game (147.1), but Cleveland is still leading the league with 5.1 yards per carry.
- 2-4 ATS in the last six games overall
- 4-1 ATS in the last five outings as favorites of 2.5 or fewer points
Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns Pick
The Browns will find a way to run more efficiently than they did in Week 12. The Ravens’ run D is one of the best in the league, but Cleveland possesses enough firepower to get things going on the ground and take some pressure off Baker Mayfield’s shoulders.
Baltimore’s secondary has been awful all season long, surrendering 272.4 yards per game (31st in the NFL). If the Ravens continue to struggle on the offensive side of the ball, the Browns will easily win and cover. Cleveland has injury worries, too, but Baltimore is pretty shorthanded on both sides of the ball.
Pick: Take Cleveland Browns -2.5 at -110
With both teams leaning on their rushing attacks, we should see a hard-fought battle. They are capable of playing tough defense, too, so I’m backing the under on the totals.
I’ve mentioned the Ravens’ offensive woes, and it’s a similar case with the Browns, who have scored a paltry 30 points over their previous three showings. Also, Cleveland has failed to hit a 20-point mark in each but one of its last seven games overall. The under is 7-3 in the last ten meetings between the Browns and Ravens, and it is 3-1 in the previous four.
Pick: Go under 42.5 points at -110