Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Chargers – Free Betting Pick Week 16

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

 

Last Updated: 2018-12-19

The Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Chargers will go head-to-head on the grass of StubHub Center. The matchup gets underway at 8:20 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to NFL Network.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Odds

The spread for this AFC game is placed at 5 points in favor of Los Angeles. The Ravens are currently receiving +160 moneyline odds while the Chargers are -180. The over/under has been set at 45 points, and there will likely be some solid in-game betting scenarios in the showdown.

The Ravens are 8-6 straight up (SU) while the Chargers are 11-3 SU. The Ravens are 7-7 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.8 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 6-8.

The Chargers are up 5.4 units this season. They’re 8-6 ATS and the over’s hit in eight of their games.

The Ravens enter after a 20-12 win over Tampa Bay in Week 15. Lamar Jackson completed 14-of-23 passes for just 131 yards and one touchdown. Gus Edwards (104 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Jackson (95 yards on 18 carries) spearheaded the ground attack. Willie Snead IV (five receptions, 58 yards) and Hayden Hurst (three catches, 20 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

The Los Angeles Bolts are coming off of a 29-28 win over Kansas City a week ago. The allowed the Chiefs to put up 243 yards through the air and 60 more on the ground. Damien Williams had a good outing in the loss, recording 49 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 10 attempts, along with 74 yards on six catches for Kansas City. For Los Angeles, Philip Rivers completed 26-of-38 passes for 313 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Justin Jackson (58 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as Mike Williams (seven receptions, 76 yards, two TDs) and Tyrell Williams (six catches, 71 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Baltimore has run the ball on 47.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Los Angeles has an overall rush percentage of 43.9 percent. The Ravens have rushed for 142 yards/game and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Bolts are putting up 122 rushing yards per contest and have 14 total rush TDs.

The Ravens have logged 238 yards per contest through the air overall and have 17 passing scores so far. The Bolts have recorded 283 pass yards per outing and have 31 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Baltimore appears to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has let opponents run for an average of 88 yards and pass for 221 yards per game. Los Angeles has allowed 103.7 rushing yards per game and 242.1 to opposing teams in the air. The Ravens are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.37 to opponents, while the Bolts have allowed a 5.93 ANY/A.

Jackson has put up 671 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 60-of-100 attempts with three passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Jackson has a 5.13 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.18 over the last two outings.

We’re expecting the Ravens to control tempo by getting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Along with Lamar Jackson (0 yards), Gus Edwards (483 rush yards, two rush TDs) and Kenneth Dixon (129 rush yards, one rush TD) have brought significant production to the offense for Baltimore.

Philip Rivers has tallied 3,731 yards, 30 TDs and eight INTs for Los Angeles. His ANY/A stands at 8.60 for the year and 6.23 over his past two games.

The Bolts also prefer to utilize their backfield. In addition to Mike Williams (547 receiving yards, nine receiving TDs), Justin Jackson (185 rush yards, two rush TDs, 65 receiving yards) and Austin Ekeler (496 rush yards, two rush TDs, three TDs) have seen plenty of touches recently.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Pick

SU Winner – Chargers, ATS Winner – Chargers, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Trends

Baltimore has rushed for 4.7 yards per attempt over its last three games and 4.9 over its last two.

Los Angeles has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.2 over its past two.

Los Angeles has lost four fumbles this season while Baltimore has let nine get away.

Baltimore has won five of its last six games SU, with a three-point defeat to Kansas City on December 9th representing the only loss over that stretch.

Los Angeles has won 11 of its last 12 games SU, with a -1-point loss to Denver on November 18th representing its only defeat over that span.

The Ravens offense has tallied five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Chargers have accounted for 10 such plays.

The Baltimore defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Los Angeles has given up seven such plays.

The Baltimore offense has created six rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Los Angeles has created 15 such runs.

The Ravens defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Chargers have given up eight such runs.

The Baltimore D has sacked opposing QBs 39 times this season. Los Angeles has recorded 34 sacks.

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