Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 09/23/19

Randal Grichuk and the Toronto Blue Jays will square off against the Baltimore Orioles at Rogers Centre. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the action and the first pitch will be at 7:07 p.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Toronto (-140) as the favorite over Baltimore (+130). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 10 runs and +100 for under 10. This game currently has a runline of Orioles +1.5 (-170) and Blue Jays -1.5 (+150).

The Orioles have gone 51-105 SU this year and are 65-90 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 22.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 31.6 units ATS. Baltimore is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 63-93 SU and 78-77 ATS. They’ve lost 14.7 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Toronto games have an over/under record of 71-75-9 in 2019. The Orioles have been a decent over bet with a total record of 79-64-12.

Chandler Shepherd will get the start for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Shepherd is 0-0 with a 4.91 ERA and nine strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 6.75 ERA against Toronto this year.

The Blue Jays are putting the ball in the hands of righty Clay Buchholz (1-5, 6.48 ERA), who has 29 punchouts and 12 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.48. Buchholz is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 17.18 ERA in one start against Baltimore this year.

Toronto’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.28, a WHIP of 1.49 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.31 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 70 games against divisional opponents, Blue Jays starters have an ERA of 5.58 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.54.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .263/.333/.469 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Blue Jays’ batters have been led by outfielder Randal Grichuk and third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.. Grichuk is slashing .235/.283/.459 with 30 home runs, 76 RBIs and 72 runs scored, and Guerrero Jr. is batting .276 with 15 homers, 68 RBIs and 51 runs.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.61 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.89, along with a WHIP of 1.42.

Orioles hitters have slashed .246/.310/.412 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Baltimore’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini, who collectively have belted 57 home runs. Villar is hitting .274/.341/.456 with 23 home runs, 69 RBIs, 106 runs and 38 stolen bases, while Mancini is hitting .286/.356/.532 with 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 101 runs scored.

The Orioles have lost 13.8 units and are 40-56 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 40 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have lost 15.1 units and are 53-50 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 49 of those games, compared to 47 that went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER