Chris Bassitt will get the start for the Blue Jays (59-47, 29-21 home) as they host the Orioles (64-41, 32-20 away) at Rogers Centre. The Orioles will give the starting nod to Kyle Gibson. Check out my prediction for game one of this AL East matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles +121

This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 7:07 ET on Monday, July 31st.

WHY BET THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES:

  • Over their last five games on the road, Baltimore has a straight-up record of 3-2.
  • In their last five games as the underdog, the Orioles have put together a record of 4-1.
  • In Kyle Gibson’s four most recent starts, the Orioles are 3-1.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD

105 games into their season, the Orioles are 1st in the AL East on an overall record of 64-41. Against other teams in the AL East, Baltimore is 21-13 while their overall series win percent sits at 62%. At home, the Orioles are 32-21 and 32-20 on the road.

The Orioles will turn to starter Kyle Gibson, who has a 9-6 record over 22 appearances in the 2023 season. His ERA is 4.68, and he has a K/9 of 7.3. Additionally, Gibson has posted a FIP of 3.85 and an OBP of .315 thus far this year.

In his most recent outing, Kyle Gibson put in a quality six-inning performance, allowing two runs to cross the plate. Unfortunately, the Orioles were unable to capitalize on his efforts and fell 4-3 to the Phillies. Despite not receiving a decision, Gibson’s strong showing was not enough to secure a victory for Baltimore.

Having gone deep 5 times in their last five games, the Orioles are 7th in that span. At 4.9 runs per game, Baltimore is 10th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .249 while hitting a total of 123 home runs (13th).

Anthony Santander has been a major offensive force for the Orioles in 2023, leading the team in home runs with 18. He also has 58 RBIs and a slugging percentage of .470.

WILL THE TORONTO BLUE JAYS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

On a record of 59-47, the Blue Jays are 3rd in the AL East. At home, they have put together a win percent of 58.0% compared to 53.6% on the road. This season, Toronto has gone 36-39 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 20-12.

Chris Bassitt has been a reliable starter for the Blue Jays this season, boasting an impressive 10-5 record across 22 appearances. His ERA stands at 3.91, while his K/9 rate is 8.38 and FIP is 4.60. His opponents’ OBP is .302, indicating that he has been able to limit their offensive production.

Chris Bassitt pitched five innings in his most recent outing, but the Blue Jays ultimately fell to the Dodgers 8-7. The right-hander earned a no-decision, surrendering two runs on four hits.

For the season, the Blue Jays are 5th in batting average, hitting a combined .262. Over their last five games, they have hit .274 which is 6th in that span. Toronto’s average of 4.5 runs per game puts them 13th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 123 times and have a team slugging percentage of .420.

Over the Blue Jays’ last ten contests, Danny Jansen has been the team’s top slugger, launching three long balls to bring his season total to 14. His overall batting average stands at .228.