Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick 05/16/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-16

The Baltimore Orioles will make a road trip to Cleveland to take on the Indians at Progressive Field. The game gets underway 6:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing this AL matchup.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Cleveland (-300) as the favorite over Baltimore (+250). The game’s total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for +105 and the under for -125. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Orioles +1.5 runs (+120) and Indians -1.5 runs (-140).

The Orioles are just 14-28 SU and are 17-23 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.7 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 7.5 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 22-19 SU and 19-22 ATS. They’ve lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.5 units ATS.

Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 17-24 so far in 2019. The Orioles have an over/under record of 20-18-2.

Right-hander Dan Straily will get the start for the visiting Orioles. Straily (1-3, 8.23 ERA) has recorded 15 strikeouts in 27.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Indians are going with righty Trevor Bauer (4-2, 3.02 ERA), who has 72 strikeouts and 27 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.11. Bauer only made one start against the Orioles in 2018 (0-1, 3.86 ERA and six strikeouts across seven innings).

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 5.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.16 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.13 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.77, along with a WHIP of 1.35.

The Orioles offense has slashed .236/.297/.390 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 2.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Right fielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led Baltimore’s offense. Mancini is slashing .308/.355/.545 with eight home runs, 17 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Villar has a .260 average with four homers, 16 RBIs, 24 runs and eight steals.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 3.86, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.3. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.06, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 8.6.

Cleveland’s offense has produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .237/.310/.420 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ batters have been led by first baseman Carlos Santana and left fielder Jake Bauers. Santana is hitting .271/.371/.417 with five home runs, 21 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while the line for Bauers stands at .246/.333/.381 with four homers, 14 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

The Orioles have gained 2.3 units and are 13-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 2.4 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 19 which went under the total.

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – UNDER


Betting Trends

The under has cashed in six of Cleveland’s last seven games.

The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games SU.

Cleveland has posted 18.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.2 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

The Orioles have a total OPS of .687 this season and an OPS of .694 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS stands at .659 overall and .643 versus righties.

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