Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Pick 05/17/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-17

The Baltimore Orioles will be taking on the Cleveland Indians. This AL matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the action.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-170) is favored over Baltimore (+160) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Orioles +1.5 runs (-135) and Indians -1.5 runs (+115).

The Indians are 23-19 straight up (SU) and 19-22 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.5 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Orioles have gone 14-29 SU this year and are 17-25 against the spread. They’re down 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 9.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Indians games have an over/under record of 17-24 so far in 2019. The Orioles have an over/under record of 20-20-2.

The right-handed Dylan Bundy is projected to start for the visiting Orioles. Bundy is 1-5 with a 5.31 ERA and 40 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and nine strikeouts across six innings).

The Indians are putting the ball in the hands of righty Jefry Rodriguez (1-2, 2.92 ERA), who has 15 punchouts and eight walks, along with a 1.18 WHIP. Rodriguez only made one start against the Orioles in 2018 (0-0, 9.00 ERA and six strikeouts across five innings).

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 6.0 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.25 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.13, along with a K/9 of 8.71.

Orioles hitters have slashed .237/.298/.392 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar, who collectively have swatted 13 home runs. Mancini is slashing .313/.362/.563 with nine home runs, 20 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Villar has a .256 average with four homers, 16 RBIs, 26 runs and nine stolen bases.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.2. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.96, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 8.5.

The Cleveland hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .268/.368/.482 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Carlos Santana and right fielder Leonys Martin have led the Indians’ hitters so far. Santana is hitting .277/.378/.426 with five home runs, 24 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Martin’s line is .229/.315/.389 with six homers, 12 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

The Orioles have gained 1.3 units and are 13-15 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 2.4 units and are 15-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 19 that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The over has cashed in just one of Baltimore’s last seven contests.

The Orioles have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.

Cleveland has recorded 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.0 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

The Orioles have an OPS of .690 this season and an OPS of .698 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Indians’ OPS sits at .672 overall and .657 versus righties.

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