Heading into game two of this American League matchup, the Guardians (73-81, 40-36 home) will send Shane Bieber to the mound against the Orioles (95-58, 50-28 away) and Dean Kremer. Check out my pick for today’s Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians game in Cleveland.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Baltimore Orioles -118

This game will be played at Progressive Field at 7:10 ET on Friday, September 22nd.

WHY BET THE BALTIMORE ORIOLES:

  • The Orioles will be taking on a Guardians club that is just 2-3 over their last five games.
  • Over their last five games as the favorite, the Guardians are just 1-4 (straight-up).
  • In Dean Kremer’s four most recent starts, the Orioles are 4-0.

BALTIMORE ORIOLES LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD

The Orioles take on the Guardians sitting in first place in AL East on an overall record of 95-58. Overall, they have played in 49 series, going 31-14-4. This season, they have put together a 50-28 record on the road and 45-30 at home.

Dean Kremer will take the mound for the Orioles today, boasting a 12-5 record. The right-hander has made 30 appearances this season, with an ERA of 4.17 and a K/9 of 8.01. His FIP stands at 4.66, while his OBP is .310.

Dean Kremer’s most recent start against the Rays saw him surrender one run on two hits in five innings of work. Despite not earning the win or loss, the Orioles emerged victorious with a 5-4 final score.

So far this season, the Orioles’ has gone deep 180 times, placing them 15th in the league. Over Baltimore’s previous five games, they are 15th in runs scored, with their season average of 5.1 runs per game putting them 6th in the league. The Orioles’ overall team batting average stands at .257 along with an OBP of .322.

Gunnar Henderson has been one of the Orioles’ most consistent offensive threats this season. Through the course of the 2023 campaign, he has compiled an impressive .258 batting average and driven in 80 runs. Additionally, Henderson has hit 27 home runs to date.

WILL THE CLEVELAND GUARDIANS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

On a record of 73-81, the Guardians are 2nd in the AL Central. At home, they have put together a win percent of 52.6% compared to 42.3% on the road. This season, Cleveland has gone 38-40 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 20-25-4.

Shane Bieber has taken the mound 19 times this season, posting a 5-6 record with an ERA of 3.77. His WHIP stands at 1.25, and he has allowed opposing batters to reach base at a .293 clip. Bieber’s strikeout to walk ratio is 95/33, though it should be noted that he has surrendered a home run in each of his last two outings.

Shane Bieber’s latest start ended in a 4-1 loss to the Royals, with the Guardians’ ace going 6 1/3 innings and surrendering four runs on nine hits. Despite the defeat, Bieber put forth a solid effort that was ultimately not enough for his team to come away with a victory.

For the season, the Guardians are 10th in batting average, hitting a combined .250. Over their last five games, they have hit .275 which is 5th in that span. Cleveland’s average of 4.1 runs per game puts them 25th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 117 times and have a team slugging percentage of .382.

The Guardians have seen José Ramírez take the lead in home runs over their last ten games, with two long balls to his name. His season-long total now stands at 24, while his overall batting average is .279.