Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Pick 04/14/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-04-14

Trey Mancini and the Baltimore Orioles will be taking the field versus their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The matchup will get going at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Baltimore (+230) is coming into this one as the underdog against Boston (-260) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 10.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Orioles +1.5 (+105) and Red Sox -1.5 (-125).

The Red Sox are 5-10 straight up (SU) and 2-12 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 9.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units ATS. The Orioles have gone 6-9 SU this year and are 5-9 ATS. They’ve accumulated 1.2 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going, but have lost 4.0 units ATS.

Boston games have a 9-4-1 over/under record so far in 2019. The Orioles have been a decent over bet with a total record of 10-4.

John Means (1-1, 2.08 ERA) is getting the nod for Baltimore. The left-handed Means pitched sparingly last year, going 0-0 overall with a 13.50 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP.

The BoSox are rolling with lefty David Price (0-1, 6.00 ERA) as their starter. Price struck out 177 hitters across 176 innings last year (30 starts). Price finished the season 16-7 overall with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. He recorded three starts against the Orioles a year ago and compiled a 3-0 record with a 2.25 ERA and 24 strikeouts.

As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has given up 6.5 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 8.09, a WHIP of 1.78 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 10.6 K/9. In four games against divisional opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 6.86 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.51.

The Boston offense has put up 4.6 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .233/.317/.405 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Red Sox offense has been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is slashing .316/.391/.526 with 18 hits, nine RBIs and eight runs scored, while Benintendi’s line is .286/.359/.429 with 16 hits, six RBIs and six runs.

For the visiting squad, Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.35 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 6.72 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 7.46, along with a WHIP of 1.45.

Orioles hitters have slashed .230/.303/.374 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Baltimore’s hitters have been led by outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar. Mancini is slashing .339/.394/.712 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Villar (.302/.343/.508) is up to three homers, eight RBIs and 11 runs scored.

The Orioles have gained 1.5 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in four of those games, as opposed to two that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 3.5 units and are 0-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in four of those games, compared to zero that went under.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of Boston’s last seven games.

The Orioles have an OPS of .677 this season and an OPS of .688 against left-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .710 overall and .800 against southpaws.

Baltimore has recorded 20.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.4 over its last five.

Both teams have hit 10 home runs over their last 10 games.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

Power LinesView all

(971) SAN DIEGO @ (972) BALTIMORE | 7:05 pm 6/25/2019

Play Line: BALTIMORE 162
BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE +126

Edge On: BALTIMORE 36Bet Now
(963) KANSAS CITY @ (964) CLEVELAND | 7:10 pm 6/25/2019

Play Line: KANSAS CITY 239
BTB PowerLine: KANSAS CITY +127

Edge On: KANSAS CITY 112Bet Now
(965) CHI WHITE SOX @ (966) BOSTON | 7:10 pm 6/25/2019

Play Line: BOSTON -279
BTB PowerLine: BOSTON -308

Edge On: BOSTON 29Bet Now