Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Free Pick 04/15/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-04-15

The Baltimore Orioles will take on their divisional rival Boston Red Sox. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 11:05 a.m. ET.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Odds

Baltimore (+220) is the underdog against Boston (-240) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 10.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +100 for the Orioles +1.5 runs and -120 for the Red Sox -1.5.

The Red Sox are 6-10 straight up (SU) and 2-13 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 11.8 units for moneyline bettors and 12.1 units ATS. The Orioles have gone 6-10 SU this year and are 6-9 ATS. They’re up 3.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season, but have lost 2.9 units ATS.

Red Sox games have an over/under record of 10-4-1 thus far in 2019. Baltimore has also been a decent over bet with a total record of 11-4.

Dan Straily will get the nod for the visiting Orioles. The right-handed Straily is 0-1 with a 19.29 ERA. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Red Sox will put the ball in the right hand of Hector Velazquez (0-0, 2.79 ERA), who has nine strikeouts and zero walks this season as well as a 1.03 WHIP. Velazquez is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Baltimore this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff allowed 6.6 runs per game and its starters own a 5.09 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 6.62 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 7.53, along with a K/9 of 8.18.

The Orioles offense has slashed .226/.297/.365 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Trey Mancini and second baseman Jonathan Villar have led Baltimore’s offense. Mancini is slashing .339/.400/.710 with six home runs, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Villar is hitting .299 with three homers, eight RBIs and 11 runs scored.

For the home team, Boston’s pitchers have yielded 6.1 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 7.34, a WHIP of 1.66 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.86 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 10.7 K/9. In five games against AL East foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 5.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.42.

Boston’s offense is putting up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .247/.333/.432 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Red Sox offense has been led by J.D. Martinez and Andrew Benintendi. Martinez is hitting .333/.412/.550 with 20 hits, nine RBIs and nine runs scored, while Benintendi’s line is .293/.364/.448 with 17 hits, six RBIs and six runs.

The Orioles have gained 2.0 units and are 4-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to two that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 8.3 units and are 2-9 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in six of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The under has cashed in only two of Boston’s last seven games.

The Red Sox have won three of their last four games SU.

Baltimore has recorded 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.2 over its last five.

The Orioles have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

The Orioles have an OPS of .662 this season and an OPS of .664 against right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS stands at .710 overall and .683 versus righties.

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2019 MLB Betting Guide

Power LinesView all

(971) SAN DIEGO @ (972) BALTIMORE | 7:05 pm 6/25/2019

Play Line: BALTIMORE 162
BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE +126

Edge On: BALTIMORE 36Bet Now
(963) KANSAS CITY @ (964) CLEVELAND | 7:10 pm 6/25/2019

Play Line: KANSAS CITY 239
BTB PowerLine: KANSAS CITY +127

Edge On: KANSAS CITY 112Bet Now
(965) CHI WHITE SOX @ (966) BOSTON | 7:10 pm 6/25/2019

Play Line: BOSTON -279
BTB PowerLine: BOSTON -308

Edge On: BOSTON 29Bet Now