Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Cardinals and Broncos. The game is starting at 1:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Broncos at University Arena (MI) in Kalamazoo, MI. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 147.5 points, and Western Michigan is favored by -1 vs. Ball State in a Mid-American conference matchup.


The Pick: Western Michigan Broncos -1

This game will be played at University Arena (MI) at 1:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Broncos.
  • Not only will Western Michigan pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Ball State Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

Ball State enters this game as the underdog, as they have gone 3-5 in their eight games as the underdog this season. So far this season, they have gone 11-10, including a 3-6 record in Mid-American Conference play.

Over their last 10 games on the road, the Cardinals have gone just 3-7, and their average scoring margin on the road this season sits at -5.7. In their last game, they lost to Bowling Green by a score of 81-72.

Ball State has an overall ATS record of 12-7 this season and is 5-4 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 6-2 vs. the spread this year and have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games as the underdog. In their last 3 road games, Ball State is 3-0 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Ball State is 10-8-1. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 146.1 points, and today’s over/under line is set at 147.5. This year, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 150 points.

In their most recent game, the Cardinals’ offense tallied 72 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.1 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Basheer Jihad, who holds an average of 19.6 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jalin Anderson is averaging 15.2 points per game this season.

Coming into today’s game, the Ball State defense is giving up an average of 70.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Ball State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 36.6% this season.

Can the Broncos Hold Strong at Home?

Western Michigan comes into this game as a one-point favorite, and they have gone 2-2 in their four games as the favorite this season. They are 5-11 as the underdog this year.

At home, the Broncos are 5-5 this season, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home. Over their last five games at home, they have gone 4-1.

As the favorite, Western Michigan has gone 2-2 vs. the spread this season and is 5-5 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Broncos are 6-4 ATS this year and 6-3 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread.

Western Michigan’s over/under record this season is 10-10, and the average scoring in their games is 146.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is similar to the average OU line in their games this year (144.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points, and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.

In contrast to their season average of 73 points per game, the Western Michigan had a below average performance. They scored 63 points against Toledo and had a field goal percentage of 45.6%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Seth Hubbard who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15.4. Jefferson Monegro also heads into the game with a PPG average of 9.4.

The Broncos’ defense is presently ranked 242nd nationally, allowing an average of 75.5 points per contest. The Western Michigan defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 88 points and allowed Toledo to connect on 4 threes.