Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Cardinals and Rockets. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Rockets at Savage Arena in Toledo, OH. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this game is set at 151.5 points, and the Rockets are the home favorites against the Cardinals in a Mid-American conference matchup.


The Pick: Ball State Cardinals +10.5

This game will be played at Savage Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Rockets.
  • Even though we have Toledo winning straight-up, we like Ball State at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Do the Cardinals Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Ball State enters this game as a 10.5-point underdog, and they are 2-4 in games they have been the underdog this season. The Cardinals have lost five straight games, and their record this season is 8-7. In Mid-American Conference action, Ball State is 0-3, compared to an 8-4 record in non-conference games.

On the road this season, Ball State is just 1-5, and they have lost three straight games. Their average scoring margin on the road is -14.7 points per game. In their last game, they lost to Akron by a score of 80-76.

When looking at Ball State’s ATS record this season, they are currently 8-5. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-4. Over their last 10 road games, the Cardinals have gone 4-6 vs. the spread. As the underdog, their ATS record is 4-2 this year and 6-4 over their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Ball State is 7-6, and today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.6). So far, 10 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 147 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.

In their latest game, Ball State offense put up 76 points against Akron. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.3% and made 10 threes. Basheer Jihad is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 19.1. Meanwhile, Jalin Anderson also brings a PPG average of 15.8 into the game.

At present, the Cardinals’ defense is nationally ranked 127th, allowing 69.7 points per game. Against Akron in their most recent game, the Ball State defense gave up a total of 80 points while allowing Akron to hit 45% of their shots.

Is a Home Win Possible for Toledo?

After winning three straight games, Toledo will look to extend their win streak to four when they face Ball State. So far, the Rockets have gone 9-6 this season, including a 3-0 record in Mid-American Conference play. At home, Toledo has gone 5-4 this season.

As the favorite, the Rockets have gone 5-2 this season. For the year, they have been favored in seven of their 15 games. Their average scoring margin at home is +.8 points per game.

As the favored team, Toledo’s ATS record this season is just 3-4 and they are 5-5 vs. the spread over their last 10 games as the favorite. The Rockets have also struggled against the spread at home recently, going 0-3 ATS in their last three games at home and 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.

Today’s over/under line of 151.5 sits below the average over/under line in Toledo’s games this year (156). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those matchups is 153 points.

Toledo’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 89 points against Kent State. They had an overall field goal percentage of 58.3% and made 26/31 free throws. Offensively, the Rockets have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 54th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 66th in percentage and 305th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Toledo defense is giving up an average of 78.3 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Toledo defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Kent State knocked down 11 three-pointers on their way to 75 points.