The Cardinals and Bobcats are set to face off at 5:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bobcats will host the game at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX. The odds for this non-conference game currently have Texas State as the -2.5 favorite, with the over/under line sitting at 136 points.
BALL STATE CARDINALS VS TEXAS STATE BOBCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Texas State Bobcats -2.5
This game will be played at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center at 5:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.
WHY BET THE TEXAS STATE BOBCATS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-71 in favor of the Bobcats.
- Not only will Texas State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 136 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Do the Cardinals Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
Ball State is 12-11 overall and 4-6 in Mid-American Conference games. They have gone 8-5 in non-conference games, including a 77-67 win over Western Michigan last time out.
As the underdog, the Cardinals have gone 4-5 this season. They are 4-6 on the road, including a current three-game win streak.
As the underdog, Ball State has been profitable vs. the spread this season, going 7-2. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Cardinals have an ATS mark of 7-3. On the road, Ball State is 6-4 vs. the spread this season and they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
The over/under record for Ball State this season is 10-9-1 and the average over/under line in their games is 144. So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 136. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 153 points.
The Cardinals’ offense finished with 77 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 75.4 points per contest. Offensively, the Cardinals hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 152nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 58th in terms of percentage and 160th in three-pointers made.
Coming into today’s game, the Ball State defense is giving up an average of 71.0 points per contest. Ball State’s three-point defense is currently 105th in the country at 6.7 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.9% of their shots vs. Ball State.
Can the Bobcats Live Up to the Hype at Home?
At home this season, Texas State has a record of 4-6, and they have won three straight games at home. Their average scoring margin at home is -2.5 points per game.
So far, Texas State has been favored in eight games and has a record of 5-3 when favored. Overall, the Bobcats are 10-14 this season, and they have won three games in a row.
As the favorite this season, Texas State has gone 5-3 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bobcats have a mark of 6-4 ATS. At home, Texas State is 4-6 vs. the spread this year and they are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 home games.
On the season, the over/under record in Texas State games is 9-13, and the average scoring total in their games is 135.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 136 is very close to the season-long average over/under line in their games of 137.9. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3, and the average scoring total in those games is just 124 points.
Most recently, the Texas State offense finished with just 63 points vs. Appalachian State. For the game, they hit 4/9 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 42.1%. Leading the team in scoring is Brandon Love, who is averaging 11 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jordan Mason also maintains a PPG average of 12.7 heading into game.
Currently, the Bobcats’ defense holds the 131st rank in the nation, allowing 70.4 points per game. So far, the Texas State defense is giving up an average of 8.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.9 times per game (661st).