Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Cardinals versus the Falcons? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 143.5 points, and Bowling Green is favored by -5.5 to win at home against Ball State.


The Pick: Bowling Green Falcons -5.5

This game will be played at Stroh Center at 7:00 ET on Friday, March 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Falcons.
  • Not only will Bowling Green pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can the Cardinals Pull the Upset on the Road?

Ball State has been a better team at home this season, but they have still been competitive on the road with a 6-8 record. Their average scoring margin on the road is -3.9 points per game. Over their last ten road games, the Cardinals have gone 5-5.

Ball State is coming off a 76-69 win over Kent State, and they have won two straight games. So far this season, they have gone 15-15, including a 7-9 record in Mid-American Conference play. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 7-8.

Ball State has an overall ATS record of 16-11 this season. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 10-5 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-6 and they have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Ball State games is 13-13-1 and today’s over/under line of 143.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (143.6). In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 149 points compared to a season average of 144.1 points per game.

The Ball State offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against Kent State. They posted a field goal percentage of 43.1% and connected on 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Jalin Anderson with 23 points. Davion Bailey also added 20 points for the Cardinals.

Currently, the Cardinals’ defense holds the 134th rank in the nation, allowing 70.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.9 threes per game vs. Bowling Green. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 35.8%.

Will the Falcons Win at Stroh Center?

At home this season, Bowling Green has gone 11-5, and they have a scoring margin of +6.3 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, they have a record of 7-3.

Overall, the Falcons have a record of 18-12, and they have gone 9-7 in Mid-American Conference play. For the season, they have been favored in 15 games, going 10-5.

As the favorite this season, Bowling Green has gone just 6-9 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Falcons have a record of 3-7 vs. the spread.

This season, Bowling Green’s over/under record is 15-12 and today’s line of 143.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (147.8). So far, 20 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s number. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 128 points compared to their season average of 146.6 points per game. Over their last 10 games, their over/under record is 3-7.

Coming off their recent game, the Bowling Green offense tallied 73 points in a matchup against Western Michigan. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.5%, and they made 5 threes. Marcus Hill is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 20.4 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Rashaun Agee brings a PPG average of 13.5 into the game.

On defense, Bowling Green is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.3 points per game. The Bowling Green defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 65 points and allowed Western Michigan to connect on 6 threes.