Looking to win big? The Roadrunners and Mustangs face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mustangs are hosting the game at Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA. Bakersfield is favored by -6 in this Big West conference contest against Cal Poly. The game’s over/under currently sits at 128.5 points.


The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +6

This game will be played at Mott Athletics Center at 10:00 ET on Saturday, March 2nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 128.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can The Roadrunners Secure a Win at San Luis Obispo?

Despite their struggles on the road this season, Bakersfield is favored by six points over Cal Poly. The Roadrunners have gone just 2-13 away from home this season and have a scoring margin of -9.1 points per game on the road.

After winning their last game against California-San Diego by a score of 70-57, Bakersfield has won two straight games. They have gone 7-11 in Big West Conference play and are 12-17 overall.

When looking at Bakersfield’s ATS record this season, they are currently 14-13. On the road, their ATS mark is 8-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Roadrunners have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 128.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Bakersfield’s games this season (136.5). So far, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. The over/under record in their games this year is 15-12.

In their most recent game, the Roadrunners’ offense tallied 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 68.8 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Kaleb Higgins, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 17.3, while Marvin McGhee III also carries a PPG average of 8.3 into the game.

At present, the Roadrunners’ defense is nationally ranked 89th, allowing 69.0 points per game. So far, the Bakersfield defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.3 times per game (540th).

Can Cal Poly Grab a Win at Home?

Cal Poly is 4-25 overall and 0-17 in Big West games. They are on a 17-game losing streak and have gone 3-25 as the underdog this season. The Mustangs have gone 1-15 on the road, and their average margin of defeat is -13.7 points per game.

At home, Cal Poly is 2-10, and their average margin of defeat is -8.5 points per game. They have lost nine straight games at home and are 0-5 in their last five games at home.

As the underdog, Cal Poly has gone 13-15 against the spread this season. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mustangs have a 6-4 ATS mark. At home, Cal Poly is 6-6 ATS this year and they are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Cal Poly’s over/under record this season is 14-12-2 and today’s line of 128.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their games (136.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 145 points.

In their recent matchup, the Cal Poly offense ended with 75 points against UC Santa Barbara. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.8% and made 8 threes. Kobe Sanders is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 18.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Quentin Jones brings a PPG average of 9.6 into the game.

At present, the Mustangs’ defense is nationally ranked 211st, allowing 73.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Cal Poly’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.7% this season.