Planning on watching today’s Tigers and Volunteers game? Catch the action at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, TN, as the Volunteers hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 152 points, and Tennessee is favored by -6 to win at home against Auburn.


The Pick: Tennessee Volunteers -6

This game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Volunteers.
  • Not only will Tennessee pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

No Pressure for Auburn as Away Dogs

After winning their last game against Georgia by a score of 97-76, Auburn is 21-6 overall and 10-4 in Southeastern Conference play. They have gone 8-5 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is +10.7.

As the underdog, Auburn is 0-1 this season, and they are 1-0 as the underdog. So far, they have been favored in 26 of their 27 games, going 21-5 in those contests. This season, they are 11-2 in non-conference games.

As the underdog this season, Auburn’s ATS record is 0-1 and their overall ATS record is 17-10. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Tigers have gone 3-7 and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as the underdog.

So far this season, the over/under record for Auburn games is 11-16. Today’s over/under line of 152 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (150.8). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 154 points.

In their latest game, Auburn’s offense looked good, scoring 97 points against Georgia. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 62.1% and made 11/16 free throws. The team’s scoring leader is Johni Broome, who holds an average of 16.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jaylin Williams is averaging 13 points per game this season.

So far this season, the Auburn defense has been performing well, ranking 59th in the country at 67.3 points allowed per contest. Against Georgia in their most recent game, the Auburn defense gave up a total of 76 points while allowing Georgia to hit 43% of their shots.

Can the Volunteers Deliver Being Favored at Home?

At home this season, Tennessee is 14-1 and has won three straight. Over the last 10 games at home, the Volunteers are 9-1. So far, Tennessee has been favored in 23 of its 27 games, going 20-3.

Overall, the Volunteers are 21-6, including a 11-3 mark in Southeastern Conference games. They have won four straight games and are coming off an 86-51 win over Texas A&M. This season, Tennessee has a scoring margin of +21.4 points per game at home.

As the favorite this season, Tennessee has gone 12-10-1 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers have a record of 6-4 vs. the spread. At home this year, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 9-5-1 and they are 3-0 vs. the spread in their last three home games.

So far this season, the over/under record in Tennessee games is 15-12. The average over/under line in their games is 144 and their games have averaged 146.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total in those games is 139 points.

Tennessee’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 86 points against Texas A&M. They had an overall field goal percentage of 52.4% and made 13/18 free throws. Offensively, the Volunteers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 153rd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 199th in terms of percentage and 77th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Volunteers’ defense is nationally ranked 46th, allowing 66.6 points per game. So far, the Tennessee defense is giving up an average of 9.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.1 times per game (430th).