Home Golf 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Odds & Picks

2021 AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Odds & Picks

The AT&T Byron Nelson will have a new course once again. After being played at the Trinity Forest Golf Club in 2018 and 2019, the PGA Tour players will tee it up at the TPC Craig Ranch in McKinney, Texas for this year’s version of the tournament.

A solid field will be on hand for this tournament, as we only have one week until the PGA Championship at Kiawah Island. Players want to stay in good shape and those that have been mostly idle since The Masters are looking to get back at it. Everything’s bigger in Texas, including the $8.1 million prize pool for this one, so it should be a good weekend of golf.

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We’ll use the odds from MyBookie Sportsbook to break it all down and list them at the bottom of the article.

The Field & Betting Odds

Bryson DeChambeau left the Wells Fargo Championship prematurely and flew back to Texas, presumably to start getting ready for this event. When he found out that he made the cut at Quail Hollow, he flew back. He’s the co-favorite with Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm this week at +1000 per the MyBookie Sportsbook odds.

Jordan Spieth is the clear next choice on the board at +1200, followed by Daniel Berger at +1800. The rest of the field checks in at +2000 or higher, including Masters champ Hideki Matsuyama, Matthew Fitzpatrick, and the return of Brooks Koepka. Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris, Marc Leishman, and Sam Burns are all +2800.

This is definitely a top-heavy field this week at a brand new course, at least as far as PGA Tour events go.

TPC Craig Ranch Breakdown

TPC Craig Ranch, a popular stop for the Korn Ferry Tour, will host its first PGA Tour event and the first of five for the AT&T Byron Nelson. It is a par 72 that checks in just shy of 7,500 yards.

Trinity Forest was flat and wide open. TPC Craig Ranch will not be. It will be narrower in that regard and should provide a good test for the players. Water is in play a lot as Rowlett Creek winds in and around the course. We’ll have bentgrass greens for this one and the players will hit from Zoysia fairways, which is very different from usual. Tom Weiskopf helped design the course.

Tournament officials have gotten approved for 25% capacity on the course, so the roars of the crowd will be heard once again.

Yay or Neigh?

As far as looking for a horse for course, you won’t find one because there has not been a PGA Tour event here. The Web.com finals in 2012 were held on this course. James Hahn finished second at 14-under. Adam Hadwin was third at 13-under. Russell Henley was sixth at 11-under. Luke List tied for 13th. The course played as a par 71 that year.

This course is also part of the Korn Ferry Tour’s Q School, so some of the more recent graduates have probably played the course and are now part of the PGA Tour. Otherwise, we don’t really know much about the course and who will play well here.

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Recent Form

Maybe recent form will be a lot more important then. Some of the guys at top of the odds board either haven’t played much lately or simply haven’t played well. DJ has one top-25 finish in his last five events. Rahm missed the cut last week at Quail Hollow. DeChambeau finished ninth, but played poorly enough on Thursday and Friday to think he wasn’t making the weekend.

Koepka missed the cut at The Masters and that’s his only tournament result since knee surgery. Matsuyama hasn’t teed up since winning the green jacket. Berger hasn’t played in a month, but has three top-20 finishes in his last four events. Fitzpatrick was fourth at the RBC Heritage after The Masters in his most recent event. Scheffler has a couple top-10 finishes over his last five events.

Zalatoris missed the cut last week in North Carolina, where he played his college golf. He’s had a couple lackluster showings since his runner-up at The Masters.

Let’s talk about some guys that have played well. Sam Burns won his first event at the Valspar Championship and was fourth the week prior when Marc Leishman won the Zurich Classic with teammate Cameron Smith. John Catlin has been playing well on the European Tour with a win and another top-five finish in his last three starts.

Keith Mitchell was third last week at the Wells Fargo and fourth two weeks prior. Charl Schwartzel has three straight top-25 finishes. Peter Uihlein has a win and two other top-10 finishes from his recent play on the European Tour.

Here’s a nugget for you. Sung Kang, the reigning champ of the AT&T Byron Nelson, is actually a member at TPC Craig Ranch, so he knows the course well.

AT&T Byron Nelson Handicap & Picks

This is a big ol’ crapshoot this week, but we can put together a player profile based on what we do know about the course. It’s a pretty long course with some long par 4s. It looks like SG: OTT will be important. We can always default to SG: Approach being important. The bentgrass greens aren’t a huge problem, so we’ll look for ball-strikers and hope they roll it well.

A price I simply cannot ignore is Sung Kang at +35000. He’s not in any kind of recent form, but he’s played well in Texas and is a member here. That has to account for something at a balloon 350/1 number.

As far as more realistic prices, Matthew Fitzpatrick at +2000 tops the list. He’s 10th in SG: Total and in the top 20 in SG: Off-the-Tee. His iron play has been a little iffy, but he’s put extremely well and still ranks 28th in SG: Tee-to-Green.

Another player to look at this week is native Texan Ryan Palmer at +5000. Palmer should have some knowledge of the course and he’s actually top 40 in SG: OTT and SG: Total. He’s in the top 50 in SG: Approach and has been comfortably on the plus side in putting.

Take some chances this week with a new course. A favorite could very well win, especially one like DeChambeau, who can cut down on the length of this course, but there are some long shots that do look compelling to be sure.

Coverage of the AT&T Byron Nelson will be on Golf Channel and CBS.

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ODDS FOR THE 2021 AT&T BYRON NELSON

BRYSON DECHAMBEAU +1000
DUSTIN JOHNSON +1000
JON RAHM +1000
JORDAN SPIETH +1200
DANIEL BERGER +1800
HIDEKI MATSUYAMA +2000
MATT FITZPATRICK +2000
BROOKS KOEPKA +2000
SCOTTIE SCHEFFLER +2500
WILL ZALATORIS +2800
MARC LEISHMAN +2800
SAM BURNS +2800
SI WOO KIM +4000
SERGIO GARCIA +5000
RYAN PALMER +5000
JASON DAY +5500
THOMAS PIETERS +6000
LUKE LIST +6000
HARRIS ENGLISH +6000
CHARL SCHWARTZEL +6000
LEE WESTWOOD +6000
MATT KUCHAR +6000
KEITH MITCHELL +6600
AARON WISE +6600
CHARLES HOWELL III +7500
RUSSELL KNOX +7500
PETER UIHLEIN +7500
CARLOS ORTIZ +8000
TALOR GOOCH +8000
ALEX NOREN +8000
CAMERON CHAMP +8000
RICKIE FOWLER +8000
ANTOINE ROZNER +9000
BRANDT SNEDEKER +10000
JOHN CATLIN +10000
SEBASTIAN MUNOZ +11000
CAMILO VILLEGAS +11000
DOUG GHIM +11000
JHONATTAN VEGAS +12500
RYAN MOORE +12500
SCOTT STALLINGS +12500
JAMES HAHN +12500
BEN MARTIN +12500
DOC REDMAN +14000
PAT PEREZ +14000
ERIK VAN ROOYEN +14000
TOM HOGE +15000
MARTIN LAIRD +15000
C.T. PAN +15000
PATTON KIZZIRE +15000
KYOUNG HOON LEE +15000
WYNDHAM CLARK +16000
SEPP STRAKA +16000
ADAM SCHENK +17500
HARRY HIGGS +17500
PATRICK RODGERS +17500
SCOTT PIERCY +17500
RORY SABBATINI +17500
VAUGHN TAYLOR +20000
WESLEY BRYAN +20000
KEVIN CHAPPELL +20000
NATE LASHLEY +20000
BRANDON HAGY +20000
JOHN HUH +20000
ANDREW PUTNAM +20000
TOM LEWIS +20000
BRICE GARNETT +22500
SAM RYDER +22500
VINCENT WHALEY +22500
BRIAN STUARD +22500
TROY MERRITT +22500
DANNY LEE +25000
ANIRBAN LAHIRI +25000
TYLER MCCUMBER +25000
SEAMUS POWER +25000
SEAN OHAIR +25000
PIERCESON COODY +25000
COLE HAMMER +27500
TED POTTER JR +27500
CHESSON HADLEY +27500
ROGER SLOAN +27500
ROBERT STREB +27500
ROBERTO CASTRO +30000
BEAU HOSSLER +30000
HANK LEBIODA +30000
JOSEPH BRAMLETT +30000
KRAMER HICKOK +30000
JJ SPAUN +30000
JOSH TEATER +30000
MICHAEL GLIGIC +30000
JIMMY WALKER +30000
ANDREW LANDRY +30000
SATOSHI KODAIRA +30000
J B HOLMES +30000
WES ROACH +30000
WILL GORDON +30000
RAFAEL CABRERA BELLO +30000
PADRAIG HARRINGTON +30000
CAMERON PERCY +35000
BRONSON BURGOON +35000
SUNG KANG +35000
BO VAN PELT +35000
JAMIE LOVEMARK +35000
TYLER DUNCAN +35000
BO HOAG +35000
GRAYSON MURRAY +35000
SHAWN STEFANI +40000
RYAN BLAUM +40000
HUDSON SWAFFORD +40000
NELSON LEDESMA +40000
MARK HUBBARD +40000
LUKE DONALD +40000
AARON BADDELEY +40000
DAVID HEARN +40000
JONAS BLIXT +40000
SCOTT BROWN +40000
RAFAEL CAMPOS +40000
KRISTOFFER VENTURA +40000
TYLER STRAFACI +40000
TIM WILKINSON +40000
JOHNSON WAGNER +40000
D J TRAHAN +40000
AUSTIN COOK +40000
RYAN ARMOUR +50000
RHEIN GIBSON +50000
ZACK SUCHER +50000
RYAN BREHM +50000
KIRADECH APHIBARNRAT +50000
SCOTT HARRINGTON +50000
KEVIN TWAY +60000
SEBASTIAN CAPPELEN +60000
KJ CHOI +60000
RYAN LUMSDEN +60000
BILL HAAS +60000
ROB OPPENHEIM +60000
HUNTER MAHAN +75000
NICK WATNEY +75000
KELLY KRAFT +75000
FABIAN GOMEZ +75000
MICHAEL KIM +100000
KEVIN STADLER +100000
MICHAEL GELLERMAN +100000
BEN TAYLOR +100000
MARK ANDERSON +100000
XINJUN ZHANG +100000
JOHN SENDEN +100000
MATT EVERY +150000
J J HENRY +150000
MARTIN TRAINER +150000
DOMINIC BOZZELLI +150000
CHRIS BAKER +200000
SHANE PEARCE +250000

 

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