Atlantic Sun Conference Opening Power Ratings

Last Updated: 2017-11-04

We’ll continue to knock out a few of the smaller conferences before we get to a few of the big boys, which will be coming out next. The smaller conferences do have their advantages, as there are very few people who are going to spend a lot of time looking at the Atlantic Sun Conference, which received a pretty big boost in popularity when Florida Gulf Coast advanced to the Sweet 16 several years back.

It’s probably no surprise that Florida Gulf Coast has the highest power rating to start the season, with Lipscomb within striking distance in second place and then a relatively large gap to the other schools in the conference.

Atlantic Sun Conference Opening Power Ratings
Florida Gulf Coast 78
Lipscomb 74
North Florida 67
USC Upstate 65
NJIT (New Jersey Tech) 65
Kennesaw State 64
Stetson 62
Jacksonville 61

While most smaller conferences have had some good-sized differences between the highest and lowest power ratings for certain teams, the Atlantic Sun gives us a couple of huge difference, with several in the 15-point range, such as Jacksonville or New Jersey Tech.

Florida Gulf Coast is a bit more consistent in the ratings they received, as there is a six-point difference from highest to lowest, while Lipscomb has less than a four-point difference in their ratings. But once we get to a few of the lower-rated teams, there is a lot more disagreement with at least one set of numbers, with four of the remaining six teams having differences of at least 10 points.

As we mentioned in our article on the Big Sky Conference, home court advantage is typically thought of as 4 points, although in actuality it can vary a great deal. Poor teams playing at home in front of a half-full gym don’t have the same advantage as a good team playing in front a packed house of crazy college students.

I won’t go higher than 6 points for home court advantage, nor any lower than 2 points, so it may not be worth the extra time to calculate a separate home court advantage for each team. But if you do so, simply take the home scoring margin and subtract the road scoring margin and divide by two.

If Team A has a +5.3 scoring margin at home and a -4.6 scoring margin on the road, you would take 5.3 and subtract (-4.6), which becomes 9.8. When you divide 9.8 by 2 you get 4.9 or five points home court advantage. (Remember when you subtract a negative number, you’re basically just adding.)

If Team A had a +5.3 at home and a -8.5 on the road, you would get 5.3 – (-8.5) = 13.8, which becomes 6.9 when divided by 2. But since 6 points should be the maximum home court advantage, you would hold it at 6.

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