Last Updated: 2018-01-03
After looking at the America East and American Athletic conferences, we now jump to one of the ‘Big Dogs’ in college basketball, the Atlantic Coast Conference, where we have three of the top 10 teams in the country, led by Duke, North Carolina and Virginia. At the start of the season I said Virginia may be the best bet of the ‘Big 4’ teams in the conference, with Louisville being the other and the Cavaliers haven’t disappointed, going 7-3 ATS, but Duke and North Carolina have been solid against the number as well, with the Blue Devils going 8-4 and UNC posting an 8-5 spread record. Louisville, which has fallen down the rankings a bit has gone 3-7-1.
Atlantic Coast Conference Power Ratings
North Carolina 94
Miami, Fla. 93
Florida State 92
Notre Dame 89
Virginia Tech 87
Wake Forest 83
Boston College 83
North Carolina State 81
Georgia Tech 73
Florida State (8-2-1) and Clemson (8-2) have posted the best spread records in the ACC, while Louisville is the only team in the conference to have an ATS record worse than one game under .500. While Notre Dame, NC State, Wake Forest and Georgia Tech each have a losing record against the number, they 4-5, 3-4, 5-6 and 4-5, respectively.
Louisville’s 0-3 straight-up record against top 50 teams is tied with Wake Forest for worst in the conference, while Pittsburgh and Virginia Tech are both 0-2. Even Georgia Tech and Boston College have wins over top 50 teams.
The most surprising aspect so far about Virginia is their 7-2 record as a favorite, since the Cavaliers aren’t designed to score a whole lot of points, while they dropped their only game as an underdog.
While Duke’s 8-4 ATS record was a bit of a surprise considering what a public team the Blue Devils are, an even bigger surprise is Duke’s 11-1 record in totals, as the public tends to love betting overs. It will be interesting to see if oddsmakers start jacking up their totals even more, although that wouldn’t have made much difference so far, as only one game that went over was close to the number. The majority have easily sailed over the total.
The Pitt Panthers are at the other end of the spectrum, having gone 1-8 in totals so far, although quite a few have just managed to stay under the number, while Clemson (3-7 in totals) have played under in six of their last seven games.
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