The Atlanta Hawks (18-39), 7.5-point underdogs, will travel to BMO Harris Bradley Center to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (31-24). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 208 points and it will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 13, 2018.
Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks Betting Odds
Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Bucks beat the Orlando Magic 111-104, while the Hawks barely escaped the Detroit Pistons 118-115.
Atlanta dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a ridiculous free throw rate of 0.410 (above their season average of 0.189) and a turnover percentage of 12.1 (better than their season average of 13.7). For those same stats, Detroit was 0.313 and 13.3, respectively. Meanwhile, Milwaukee’s 0.579 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Orlando, who had a mark of 0.494. The Bucks’ mark was above their season average of 0.530. Milwaukee was led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who recorded 32 points, five rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, Dewayne Dedmon was a key piece for Atlanta with 20 points and 13 rebounds.
Milwaukee should have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Bucks rank eighth in offensive efficiency, while Atlanta ranks 26th in defensive efficiency. It could also be a mistake-prone game for the offense of the Hawks, which ranks 28th in ball security (turnover percentage of 15.0 percent). They’ll be going up against the top-notch defense of the Bucks, which forces the fifth-most turnovers in the league (15.0 percent).
Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Hawks games, with 29 unders compared to 27 overs. Atlanta comes into the contest with records of 18-39 straight up (SU) and 29-26-2 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Atlanta, just over half of Bucks games have finished over the total. Further, Milwaukee owns records of 31-24 SU and 25-25-5 ATS.
In their first matchup this year, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to a 117-106 victory. He notched a double-double with 33 points and 11 rebounds. The two teams combined for 223 points, which was well over the projected point total of 199.5, and Milwaukee covered as a 6-point favorite. The Bucks’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over the Hawks. Milwaukee had a rate of 15.2, while Atlanta posted a mark of 7.3.
Atlanta Hawks at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under
The Hawks rank 15th in second chance points per game (12.6) while the Bucks rank 29th (10.0).
Milwaukee ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Atlanta ranks 27th (8.5).
The Bucks rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (26.3) while the Hawks rank 23rd (30.2).
Milwaukee ranks 11th in points in the paint per game (45.3) while Atlanta ranks 28th (40.2).
Milwaukee ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.7) while Atlanta ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
The Bucks rank third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while the Hawks rank 25th (5.3).
The Bucks rank 14th in assists allowed per game (22.8) while the Hawks rank 29th (25.7).
Atlanta ranks 25th in rebounds per game (40.7) while Milwaukee ranks 29th (39.1).
Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (8.1) while Atlanta ranks 21st (12.3).
In games where they allow below 100 points, Milwaukee is 15-4 and Atlanta is 9-3.
The Bucks are 26-12 when they reach 100 points, while the Hawks are 16-23.
Atlanta is 13-12-2 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 10-14-3 ATS at home.
In 27 road games, the Hawks have 15 unders and 12 overs.
In 27 home games, the Bucks have 13 overs, 13 unders and 1 push.
In their last five games, Atlanta and Milwaukee are both 3-2 ATS.
The Hawks have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Bucks have 4 unders and 1 over
The Hawks have outscored opponents by an average of 2.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Atlanta has been defeated by an average of 4.1 points.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 100.0 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 93.6 points per game (10.7 below their season average).