The Hawks and Heat are set to face off at 8:00 ET on BSSU. The Heat will host the game at Kaseya Center in Miami, FL. This Southeast division matchup has an over/under of 236.5 points, and the Heat are favored to win at home vs. the Hawks.


The Pick: Miami Heat -2

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, December 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-111 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with Tyler Herro points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.6% and knocking down 14 threes.

Will Atlanta Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

With a record of 12-15, the Hawks are below .500 as they face off against the Heat. On the road, the Hawks are 8-8 compared to 4-7 at home.

Atlanta has an overall ATS record of 7-20 for the season so far. During this season, Atlanta has a 2-10 record against the spread as favorites and 5-10 as underdogs.

The Hawks offense is coming off a game in which they scored 134 points vs. the Rockets. Overall their field goal percentage was 51.6% while connecting on 17 threes. The top scorer for the Hawks was Trae Young with 30 points, while Bogdan Bogdanovic also added 22 to the scoreboard.

Coming into the game, the Hawks’ defense is giving up an average of 122.9 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 74.1% of their games.

When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Hawks squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 58.1% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 38.6% from downtown.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Heat?

When facing Eastern Conference teams, the Heat are 13-10 and are 3-2 in non-conference games. Overall, the Heat are 16-12 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games.

Miami comes in with an overall ATS record of 12-15 so far this season. The Heat have been unable to cover the spread in their last two games as favorites, and they hold a 6-6 record against the spread when playing as underdogs.

The Heat’s offense finished with 115 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 112.9 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Heat have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 15th in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 1st in percentage and 12th in three-pointers made.

Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 25.0% of their games. Currently, they are 9 in the NBA at 111.8 points per game allowed.

When it comes to forced turnovers, the Heat are forcing 12.4 per game, which is 7th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 30th in blocked shots at 3.1 per game.