At 7:30 ET, the Atlanta Hawks (+479) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (-680) in a non-conference matchup. The Hawks are currently 10th in the Eastern Conference, while the Mavs are 5th in the West. Dallas is favored by 11.5 points and the over/under line is set at 230.

This game will be played at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Hawks come into this game on a 2-game win streak and are 36-40 overall. Meanwhile, the Mavericks are 45-30 and sit atop the Southwest Division.

ATLANTA HAWKS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Hawks +11.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 7:30 ET on Thursday, April 4th.

WHY BET THE ATLANTA HAWKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-112 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.5% and knocking down 16 threes.

Can Atlanta Pull Off a Road Win?

The Hawks have an O/U record of 42-34 this season, and their games have averaged 239.3 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 230 is lower than their season average of 235.8.

In Atlanta’s last game, they were favored by 12 points against the Pistons and won the game by a score of 121-113. The O/U line for that game was 223.5.

Looking at their ATS record, the Hawks are 28-48 for the season, including a road ATS record of 13-24. At home, they have lost their last two games ATS.

The Hawks are currently in 10th place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 36-40. Against the East, they are 22-27 and 14-13 against the West.

As underdogs, the Hawks have a record of 12-23 this season. Their scoring differential as underdogs is -5.2 points per game, and they are 13-22 ATS as underdogs. The team has won their last two games and is 3-0 straight up as underdogs.

So far this season, the Hawks are 5th in the NBA in scoring at 119.1 points per game. However, their scoring average drops to 115.6 on the road. In terms of pace, Atlanta is 6th in the league at 100 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Hawks are 19th in field goal percentage at 46%. They are also 20th in two-point shooting at 53%. From beyond the arc, Atlanta is 6th in made threes at 13.8 per game but are hitting just 36% of their attempts.

Overall, the Hawks are 17th in assists at 26.6 per game. In terms of free throws, Atlanta is 6th in made free throws at 18.7 per game. Finally, the Hawks are 2nd in offensive rebounds at 12.6 per game.

Facing Dallas, the Hawks aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 120.2 points allowed per game (27th). The Hawks defense is coming off a game in which they held the Pistons offense to just 54.4% shooting. Overall, they gave up 113 points to Detroit.

Can the Mavericks Deliver Being Favored at Home?

In their last game, the Mavericks lost to the Warriors by a score of 104-100. The O/U line for that game was 232 points. Dallas was favored by 1 point going into the game.

For the season, the Mavericks are 45-30 and are currently 5th in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 29-20 and 10-5 against other teams in the Southwest Division.

Dallas has an average scoring differential of +3.8 points per game at home this season. The team’s ATS record at home is 18-19, and they have won four straight games against the spread at home.

As the favorite this season, the Mavericks have a record of 34-12 and are favored by 11.5 points today. In their last four games as the favorite, they are 3-1 straight-up and 29-17 vs. the spread.

This season, the average O/U line in Mavericks games is 235.9 points, and their games have averaged 234.6 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 230 points, and their season record vs. the O/U is 35-40.

When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 118.5 points per game (6th). At home, they are averaging 119.3 points per game (7th).

In terms of pace, the Mavericks are 11th in the league at 99.4 possessions per game. They are also one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, making an average of 14.7 threes per game (2nd).

Overall, the Mavericks have made 48% of their shots this season (11th). However, they are just 23rd in offensive rebounds and 19th in assists.

On defense, the Mavericks come into the game ranked 20th in the league in points allowed at 116.1 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 104.7 points per contest (14th). In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.8% while allowing 36.8% from downtown.