Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers Week 15 Betting Pick


In a display of two offenses possessing very different offensive systems, the Atlanta Falcons (+11) are set to face off against the San Francisco 49ers (-11) at Levi’s Stadium. This late afternoon matchup kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.

Atlanta Falcons vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Odds 12/15/2019

This NFC game’s line is sitting at 11 points in favor of San Francisco. The Falcons are currently getting +340 moneyline odds while the 49ers are -500. This NFC game will likely have several in-game betting scenarios. The over/under has been set at 47 points.

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Sharp bettors have been siding with both the Falcons and the over. This line originally opened at -12 and the O/U was initially set at just 45.5.

The Falcons are 4-9 straight up (SU) while the 49ers are 11-2 SU. The Falcons have lost 1.4 units so far in 2019 and are 4-8-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 5-8.

The surprising 49ers have gained 7.8 units this season. They’re 8-4-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-7.

The Falcons are on the upswing after a 40-20 win over Carolina in Week 14Their defense allowed the Panthers to rush for 100 yards on 22 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Christian McCaffrey had a productive day for the Panthers in that one with 53 rushing yards on 11 attempts, along with 82 yards on 11 catches. Offensively, Matt Ryan completed 20-of-34 passes for 313 yards and two touchdowns. Devonta Freeman (84 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and Brian Hill (62 yards on nine carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Calvin Ridley (five receptions, 76 yards, one TD) and Julio Jones (five catches, 66 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

San Francisco just earned a 48-46 win over New Orleans a week ago. The Niners defense allowed the Saints to pass for 349 yards and five touchdowns while rushing for 116 yards. Michael Thomas was a bright spot in the defeat for New Orleans, recording 134 yards on 11 catches. For San Francisco, Jimmy Garoppolo completed 26-of-35 passes for 349 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Raheem Mostert (69 yards on 10 rush attempts, one TD) and Matt Breida (54 yards on six carries) spearheaded the running game as Emmanuel Sanders (seven receptions, 157 yards, one TD) and George Kittle (six catches, 67 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the win.

Atlanta has run the ball on 34.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Francisco has an overall rush percentage of 51.8 percent. The Falcons have rushed for 81 yards per game and have seven touchdowns on the ground this year. The Niners are averaging 149 rushing yards per contest and have 17 total rush TDs.

If 2019 results can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Niners could own the edge when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has given up just 27 sacks while their D-line has registered 45 sacks. The Falcons offensive line has given up 41 sacks and their defense has recorded only 23 sacks.

The Falcons have tallied 319 yards per contest through the air overall and have 25 passing TDs so far. The Niners have produced 254 pass yards per outing and have 26 total pass scores.

Atlanta has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 108 yards and pass for 273 yards per game. San Francisco has allowed 116.6 yards per game on the ground and 177.5 to opponents in the air. The Niners are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.11 to opposing QBs, while the Falcons have allowed a 7.23 ANY/A.

Garoppolo likely has the advantage over Ryan in this one. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 7.28 for the year and 8.70 over his past two games while Ryan’s ANY/A is 6.44 (and 5.86 over the last two outings).

Atlanta Falcons at San Francisco 49ers Betting Pick

SU Winner – 49ers, ATS Winner – 49ers, O/U – Over


Team Betting Trends

The San Francisco defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 45 times this year. Atlanta has produced just 23 sacks.

Both offenses have lost eight fumbles this year.

The Falcons offense has created four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the 49ers have put up six such plays.

The Atlanta defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while San Francisco has given up five such plays.

The Atlanta offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while San Francisco has created 14 such runs.

The Falcons defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the 49ers have given up nine such runs.

The O/U for San Francisco’s previous game was set at 46. The over cashed in that 48-46 win over New Orleans.

In its last three matches, San Francisco is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

In its last three contests, Atlanta is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

San Francisco has won four of its last five games SU, with a -3-point loss to Baltimore on December 1st accounting for the only defeat over that stretch.

The O/U for Atlanta’s last game going into it was 48. The over cashed in the team’s 40-20 win over Carolina.

As a team, Atlanta has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.3 over its last two.

San Francisco has averaged 6.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 6.3 over its last two.