Atlanta Falcons at Dallas Cowboys Preview and Pick
- Updated: October 23, 2009
NFL Football Betting Preview
Atlanta Falcons (4-1) at Dallas Cowboys (3-2)
Sunday October 25th, 4:15PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Dallas -4, 48 O/U
The Dallas Cowboys will enter week 7 well rested after a bye week as they will host the Atlanta Falcons in an NFC showdown. The Cowboys have struggled through the soft sport of their schedule at 3-2 on the year and will be trying to avoid dropping to the .500 mark on the year. A lot of media have criticized the Cowboys star power this year, but they could silence the critics by topping Matt Ryan and the Falcons this weekend. Atlanta captured a big win last week at home over the Bears 21-14 and are 4-1 on the season. The Falcons single loss of the season fell in the hands of the Patriots, but they have won their last 6 straight regular season NFC matches dating back to last season. The Falcons offense has played well over the past few weeks and now they face the Dallas offense in what could turn out to be a high scoring affair.
QB Matt Ryan is off to another solid start in his sophomore campaign. The Falcons quarterback is completing 65% on the season with 9 scores and 4 picks. There has definitely been more pressure on Ryan to perform early this year because Michael Turner has been held to just 353 yards in 5 games. Turner has had just 1 100 yard performance this season through 5 games after having 8 last year. The running game has not been the same, but with the addition of tight end Tony Gonzalez the passing game has been able to pick up the slack. Gonzalez may not put up huge numbers, but he catches a lot of critical passes and draws a lot of attention. WR Roddy White should be on the verge of a big game against a weak Dallas secondary. White shredded the 49ers secondary two weeks ago for 210 yards and look for him to be the primary target again this Sunday.
The Dallas pass defense has allowed 251 yards per game on the year which ranks towards the very bottom of the league. The Cowboys defense has also seen less action from the defensive front which dominated the league a year ago. The Cowboys had just less than 60 sacks last season averaging nearly 4 per game. However, Dallas ranks 24th in the NFL in sacks with just 10 on the season and 2.0 per game through their first 5 games. The defensive line is not getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks and as a result the secondary has reflected poorly.
The Dallas offense carries the perception of one of the premier offenses in the NFL, but in reality they have been fairly average. The Cowboys were at one time one of the best passing teams in the league, but Dallas has transitioned into more of a rushing threat on offense. QB Tony Romo is completing just 58% with 6 touchdowns and 4 picks. Romo sports a poor QB rating of 86.5 and the Cowboys are averaging 259 yards per game through the air. However, the running back stable out of Dallas is a dangerous 3 headed monster. Tailbacks Marion Barber, Tashard Choice, and Felix Jones all have different types of effective running styles. Barber is a late game runner who wears defenses down. Choice is a 2nd year youngster who shows that he could develop into a big time player and Jones is perhaps the best of them all. Jones will actually be back this week after missing some time with a knee injury. These 3 backs have helped Dallas average 161 yards per game on the ground this season good enough for 3rd best in the running game. Luckily for Dallas they will get the best runner back this week and hopefully that will play huge dividends for getting the entire offense back to dominate form.
Pick – Over 48
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