The Braves (94-50, 47-25 away) and Phillies (79-65, 43-29 home) head into game three of this NL East matchup all tied at 1-1. Max Fried is scheduled to get the start for the Braves against Zack Wheeler for the Phillies. Check out my best bet for today’s Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies showdown.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves -125
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Tuesday, September 12th.
WHY BET THE ATLANTA BRAVES:
- Over their last ten games on the road, Atlanta has a straight-up record of 7-3.
- Looking at the Braves’ last five games as the underdog, they are just 2-3.
- Opponents are hitting just .199 against Max Fried in his last two starts.
CAN THE ATLANTA BRAVES PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?
The Braves head into today’s game ranked 1st in the NL East on an overall record of 94-50. So far, they have put together an above .500 mark on the road at 47-25 and across 45 series, they are 32-10-3.
Max Fried will take the mound for his 13th start of the season today, boasting an impressive 7-1 record. His ERA stands at 2.70 and opponents are hitting .287 against him. Fried has fanned 67 batters and his WHIP sits at 1.17. On the road, he’s been even more dominant with a 2.10 ERA compared to 3.95 when pitching at home.
The Braves emerged victorious in Max Fried’s last start, defeating the Cardinals 8-5. Fried pitched six innings, surrendering six hits and three earned runs, earning himself a win in the process.
Offensively, Atlanta is ranked 1st in the league with an average of 5.8 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Braves averaged 4.8 runs per contest, which is 10th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Atlanta is 1st in all of baseball, with a total of 278 home runs.
Over the Braves’ past ten outings, Matt Olson has been a force to be reckoned with at the plate, belting seven home runs and bringing his season total to an impressive 50. The slugger’s overall batting average stands at .279.
WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
For the season, the Phillies are 79-65 overall, including going 36-36 on the road and 43-29 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Philadelphia is above .500 at 25-17-3. In the NL East, the Phillies are currently 2nd.
Zack Wheeler has taken the mound 29 times in 2021, boasting an impressive 11-6 record. His ERA stands at 3.49, and opponents are batting a mere .225 against him. On the road, Wheeler is 7-4 with a 3.83 ERA, while he’s 4-2 at home with an ERA of 4.03. Teams have mustered up a slugging percentage of just .351 against him this season.
Zack Wheeler earned a quality start and the win in his last outing against the Padres, as the Phillies came away with a 5-1 victory. The right-hander was dominant, surrendering no runs and just one hit over six innings of work.
The Phillies have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 6 home runs over their last five games. Compared to other clubs, this is 6th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 10th in home runs and 5th in slugging percentage. Overall, Philadelphia is averaging 4.9 runs per game (9th).
Trea Turner has been a key contributor to the Philadelphia offense this season, boasting a .269 batting average and .469 slugging percentage. Over the last ten games, he has led the team in hits, batting an impressive .400.