Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 8/30/24
Both the Braves and Phillies will be looking to pick up a win in an NL East matchup, with first pitch from Citizens Bank Park being set for 6:40 PM ET. The Braves are 73-61 this season, while the Phillies lead the NL East with a record of 79-55.
Philadelphia comes into this one as the money line favorite, with the odds sitting at -134 compared to the Braves at +114. The over/under line is currently at 8 runs, and BSSE will be televising Friday’s matchup.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -134
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 ET on Friday, August 30th.
HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Philadelphia rallied for three runs in the 6th inning in the most recent game of this Phillies vs. Braves series. The Phillies scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 6th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -161 on the money line.
Charlie Morton started for the Braves and went 5 2/3 innings, giving up three runs and striking out seven. Grant Holmes took the loss. Orion Kerkering got the win out of the bullpen for the Phillies as Cristopher Sanchez went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs.
Brandon Marsh and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies, while Matt Olson hit two homers for the Braves. Marsh, Castellanos, and Olson each had three RBIs.
Braves Records & Stats
With a record of 73-61, the Braves trail the Phillies by six games for the NL East lead. So far, they are 22-19 in divisional games, and they are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of this series vs. the Phillies. The Braves are on an overall five-game winning streak, and they have won three straight series on the road.
As the favorite, the Braves have gone 62-47 this year and 11-14 as the underdog. Atlanta has been playing well of late, as they are 7-3 over their last 10 games. On the road, the Braves are 37-33 compared to 36-28 at home.
When betting the Braves on the run line this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They’re 63-71 overall, but 37-33 on the road. They’re 26-38 at home, where they’ve been outscored by 0.1 runs per game. On the road, they’ve outscored opponents by 0.9 runs per game. They’ve covered the run line in six straight road games and are 4-0 in their last four games as an underdog.
The Braves are on the road against the Phillies today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. Atlanta’s games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 50-79. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 8-13-1. So far this season, 59.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 or higher.
Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 21 starts this year and has a record of 7-4 with an ERA of 2.02. So far, López has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.26 strikeouts per nine innings. López has been tough to score on this year, as he has allowed just seven homers. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he gave up one earned run in six innings of work vs. the Nationals. Opponents hit just .222 off López this year.
So far this season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and have the 4th most home runs in the league. One area they have struggled is with strikeouts, as they are 26th in the league in this category.
Marcell Ozuna has been a key run producer for the Braves this season, as his 98 RBIs are 3rd in the league. He also comes into the game with a team-high 37 home runs and is batting .308. Matt Olson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/36 in his last nine games with four homers.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 79-55, the Phillies lead the NL East by six games over the Braves. The Phillies took the first game of this series, and their record vs. other NL East teams is 21-14 this season. As the Phillies are currently the favorite, they are 67-40 this season and 44-21 as the favorite at home.
At home, the Phillies have gone 45-24 this season, and they are just over .500 at 34-31 on the road. Philadelphia has won five straight games as the favorite, and they are 23-15-6 in series this year, including having won two straight series.
The Phillies have been a solid bet against the run line at home this season, going 32-37. Their average run margin at home is 1.2, and they have a run line record of 51-56 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 65-69, and they have an average run margin of 0.8 on the season.
The Philadelphia Phillies are hosting the Atlanta Braves today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Phillies have a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 62-65. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 17-15-1. So far this season, 50.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, while 25.4% have had lines set at under 8 runs.
Ranger Suárez is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Royals and came away with the win. In that outing, he went 5 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Looking back further, Suárez had taken the loss in three straight outings before that win. His record for the season is 11-5, and he has an ERA of 2.82. Suárez has made 21 starts, and opponents are batting .218 this season. The left-hander has one shutout and one complete game this year, along with 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 2.03 walks compared to 8.83 strikeouts.
Philadelphia comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .258, which is the 3rd best mark in the league.
Over his last five games, Nick Castellanos has gone deep three times, but is just 5/20 in that stretch. Alec Bohm has been a key run producer for the Phillies, as his 89 RBIs are good for 7th in the league. He is also batting .290 for the season. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper are also near the top of the league in home runs, with Schwarber’s 28 homers leading the team and Harper’s 26 homers being the 2nd most on the team.