It’s a beautiful night for baseball in Philadelphia as the Braves and Phillies are set to square off in an NL East matchup. First pitch is set for 4:05 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. You can catch all the action on NSPP+.

Max Fried will take the mound for the Braves, while Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies. The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, with the under currently at -120. The Braves are currently favored with a money line payout of -137, while the Phillies are the underdogs at +115.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline +115

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, March 30th.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS PHILLIES:

  • We have the Phillies winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Phillies to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

The Braves offense exploded in the last game of this series against the Phillies, scoring nine runs despite not hitting a home run. Atlanta’s offense did its damage with 13 hits and six doubles. The Phillies’ only home run came from Brandon Marsh, who drove in two of their three runs.

Jose Alvarado took the loss out of the bullpen for the Phillies, while Pierce Johnson got the win for Atlanta. Starter Spencer Strider went five innings and gave up two earned runs, but he did not factor into the decision. On the other side, Zack Wheeler went six innings and didn’t give up a run, but he also didn’t get any run support.

Three different Braves hitters had three hits in the game, including Matt Olson, who had three doubles. Adam Duvall drove in two runs, and Ronald Acuna Jr. went 1/4 with a stolen base.

Braves Records & Stats

Max Fried is coming off a season in which he made 14 starts and went 8-1 for the Braves. His ERA for the season was 2.55, and he finished the year with a WHIP of 1.13. Fried’s batting average allowed was .234, and his on-base percentage allowed was .280. He finished the season with one complete game and one shutout. For the season, he had eight quality starts and gave up a total of seven home runs. Fried’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 4.4.

Looking at the Braves’ player projections for today, we have Marcell Ozuna with the 5th highest total hits projection on the team, as well as the top odds to hit a home run. In fact, his home run projection is 7th best in the entire league. Matt Olson is 6th in terms of total hits projections for the Braves, but his home run projection is the best on the team and 7th in the league. Austin Riley is 2nd in terms of total hits and 2nd in terms of home run projections for the Braves, with the 8th best odds to hit a home run in the league. Ronald Acuña Jr. has the highest total hits projection on the team, and his odds to hit a home run are 3rd best on the team and 10th in the league.

Phillies Records & Stats

Aaron Nola is coming off a season in which he made 32 starts and finished with a record of 12-9. His ERA for the season was 4.46, and he had a WHIP of 1.15. Nola’s batting average allowed was .235, and his on-base percentage allowed was .276. Last season, Nola made three appearances against the Braves and finished with an ERA of 2.62. For the season, Nola had 16 quality starts and allowed a total of 32 home runs.

Our model is projecting Kyle Schwarber to have a big game at the plate for the Phillies. Schwarber has the highest home run projection on the team and the 6th highest in the league today. Bryce Harper is also expected to have a solid game, with the 3rd highest hits projection on the team and the 9th highest home run projection in the league. Trea Turner has the highest hits projection on the team and the 10th highest home run projection in the league.