First pitch for this NL East matchup between the Braves and Phillies is set for 3:05 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The game will be televised on BSSO.

The pitching matchup for this one features Spencer Strider going for the Braves and Zack Wheeler taking the mound for the Phillies. The over/under line is currently set at 7.5 runs.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -129

This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 3:05 ET on Thursday, March 28th.

HOW TO BET THE BRAVES VS PHILLIES:

  • We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Phillies to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Braves Records & Stats

Despite finishing with the best record in the National League, the Braves were eliminated in the NLDS by the Phillies last season. Atlanta’s overall record was 104-58, and they went 35-17 against NL East opponents.

When playing at home, the Braves were 52-29 last season, and their series record was 16-7-2. On the road, Atlanta went 52-29 and had a series record of 20-5-1.

As the favorite, the Braves went 96-52 last season, while they were 8-6 as the underdog. When playing as the road favorite, Atlanta’s record was 45-24.

In day games, the Braves went 30-21 last season, compared to 74-37 in night games.

As mentioned earlier, Atlanta was eliminated by the Phillies in the NLDS last season. The Braves’ series record against Philadelphia was 36-12-3.

Overall, the Braves finished with the best record in the National League and the NL-East last season.

Last season, the Braves were the favorite in 91.4% of their games, going 74-74 vs. the run line in those matchups. Atlanta’s average scoring margin was +1.4 runs per game, finishing with a run line record of 84-78. In games that they won, the Braves’ average scoring margin was +3.9 runs per game compared to -3.1 runs per game in losses. On the road, their scoring margin was +1.6 runs per game.

When looking at last season’s over/under record, the Braves finished with a record of 92-66. Their games had an average over/under line of 9.3 runs per game, and 96.3% of their games had higher O/U lines than today’s line of 7.5 runs. Last season, their games averaged a combined 10.3 runs per game. In games with O/U lines of 7.5 runs, the over/under record was 5-1, and 70.4% of their games finished with more runs than 7.5 runs.

Spencer Strider is coming off a season in which he made 32 starts and went 20-5. His ERA for the season was 3.86, and he had a WHIP of 1.09. Strider’s FIP for the season was 2.85, and he had a batting average allowed of .203. Last season, Strider made four appearances against the Phillies and went 4-0 with an ERA of 1.93.

The Braves’ offense was the best in the league last season, averaging 5.8 runs per game. They were also the top home run-hitting team with 307 long balls. Atlanta’s batting average of .276 was the best in the league, and they were the hardest team to strike out, ranking 6th in the league. On the road, the Braves hit .261 compared to .275 at home.

The Braves are returning their top two home run hitters from last season, Matt Olson and Ronald Acuña Jr. Olson hit 54 home runs and drove in 139 runs last season, while Acuña Jr. hit .337 and finished with 41 home runs. Atlanta also added Adam Duvall, who hit 21 home runs last season with the Red Sox.

Phillies Records & Stats

Today, the Phillies are the underdog against the Braves, with a moneyline of +108. Last season, Philadelphia went 25-27 against NL East opponents and 65-45 as the favorite. On the other hand, they were 25-27 as the underdog.

Overall, the Phillies finished with a record of 90-72, which was good for 4th place in the National League. In the NLCS, they lost to the Braves in a seven-game series. At home, Philadelphia went 49-32 compared to 41-40 on the road.

Last season, the Phillies finished with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game. Their overall run line record was 71-91, including a mark of 34-47 at home and 37-44 on the road. In games that they covered the run line, their average scoring margin was +4.1 runs per game compared to -2.3 runs per game in games they did not cover. For the season, they were the favorite in 67.9% of their games, going 43-67 vs. the run line.

Philadelphia’s over/under record last season was 75-77, and their games averaged a combined 9.3 runs per contest. Last year, 86.4% of their games had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5, and in those games, the over/under record was 6-11.

Coming off a season in which he made 32 starts, Zack Wheeler will take the mound for the Phillies against the Braves. Last season, Wheeler went 13-6 with an ERA of 3.61. His WHIP was 1.08, and he allowed opposing batters to hit .229. When facing the Braves, Wheeler made three starts, going 2-0 with an ERA of 3.08.

Last season, the Phillies were one of the most powerful offenses in the league, finishing 7th in home runs (220) and 5th in slugging percentage (.438). Overall, they averaged 4.9 runs per game, which was 8th in the league. On the road, they were slightly worse, averaging 4.7 runs per game (12th). In terms of strikeouts, they were 23rd in the league, but they were solid in terms of plate discipline, finishing 13th in walks.

The Phillies will be looking for a big season from Kyle Schwarber, who hit 47 home runs last year. Schwarber’s slugging percentage was .474. Nick Castellanos hit 29 home runs and drove in 106 runs last year. Trea Turner batted .266 and had 26 home runs. Whit Merrifield is a new addition to the team after hitting .272 for the Blue Jays last season.