Ozzie Albies and the Atlanta Braves will head north to square off against their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will broadcast the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Odds
Vegas is listing Atlanta (+110) as the dog to New York (-120). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. There’s a runline of Braves +1.5 (-190) and Mets -1.5 (+165) for this matchup.
The Mets are 83-76 straight up (SU) and 82-76 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 6.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.8 units ATS. The Braves have gone 97-62 SU this year and are 79-80 ATS. They’ve gained 20.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.2 units ATS.
New York games have had an over/under record of 80-65-13 in 2019. Braves games have gone over 77 times, gone under 74 times and pushed on eight occasions.
Dallas Keuchel is getting the nod for the visiting Braves. The left-handed Keuchel is 8-7 with a 3.59 ERA and 87 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets will turn to righty Marcus Stroman (9-13, 3.23 ERA), who’s got 151 strikeouts and 57 walks as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Stroman is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.87 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.03 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 73 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.30 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.74.
The New York hitters have put up 4.9 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .250/.343/.449 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ offense has been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Jeff McNeil. Rosario is slashing .286/.323/.434 with 15 home runs, 71 RBIs, 75 runs and 19 stolen bases, while McNeil’s line is .318/.384/.531 with 23 homers, 75 RBIs and 83 runs.
For the visiting squad, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.16 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.25, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K-per-9 of 9.29.
The Braves offense has slashed .258/.339/.454 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Atlanta’s offense has been sparked by second baseman Ozzie Albies and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr., who collectively have swatted 65 home runs. Albies is slashing .299/.356/.508 with 24 home runs, 86 RBIs, 102 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Acuna Jr. is hitting .280/.365/.518 with 41 homers, 101 RBIs, 127 runs and 37 steals.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
Atlanta has logged 18 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 21 XBH over its last five.
The Braves have a total OPS of .793 this season and an OPS of .795 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .770 overall and .765 versus righties.
New York has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.
The Braves have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.