Freddy Peralta will get the start for the Brewers (54-43, 26-21 home) as they host the Braves (62-33, 30-14 away) at American Family Field. The Braves will give the starting nod to Michael Soroka. Check out my prediction for game one of this National League matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Milwaukee Brewers.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves -125
This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, July 21st.
WHY BET THE ATLANTA BRAVES:
- Over their last five games on the road, Atlanta has a straight-up record of 3-2.
- As the favorite on the road, the Braves’ win streak currently stands at two games.
- For the season, the Braves have gone 3-1 with Michael Soroka on the mound as the starter.
ATLANTA BRAVES LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD
This season, the Braves are 62-33, putting them 1st in the NL East. On the road this season, Atlanta has been above .500 team at 30-14. Overall, they have gone 22-7-2 in their 31 series.
Today marks Michael Soroka’s sixth outing of the season, and he currently holds a 1-1 record. His ERA stands at 5.40, with an opposing batting average of .358. He has struck out 19 batters and his WHIP is 1.50. On the road, his ERA is 6.09 compared to 5.25 when pitching at home.
Michael Soroka endured a difficult outing in his most recent start, lasting only three innings and allowing two runs as the Braves were defeated 8-1 by the White Sox.
Offensively, Atlanta is ranked 2nd in the league with an average of 5.7 runs per game. When looking over their last ten matchups, the Braves averaged 4.8 runs per contest, which is 8th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Atlanta is 1st in all of baseball, with a total of 182 home runs.
Over the last ten games, Austin Riley has been a powerhouse for the Braves, leading the team with four home runs. His season-long total of 20 long balls is impressive, and his overall batting average of .268 is nothing to sneeze at either.
WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
On a record of 54-43, the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central. At home, they have put together a win percent of 55.3% compared to 56.0% on the road. This season, Milwaukee has gone 24-25 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 16-13-1.
Freddy Peralta has been impressive in his 18 appearances this season, boasting a .414 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.25 WHIP. His overall record stands at 6-7 with an ERA of 4.41, along with 113 strikeouts and an average of 10.38 K’s per nine innings. On the road, Peralta is 2-4 with an ERA of 5.20, while he is 4-3 at home with a 4.66 ERA.
Freddy Peralta earned a quality start and a win in his last game against the Reds, as the Brewers emerged victorious with a 3-0 scoreline. The right-hander held Cincinnati to one hit over six innings, keeping them off the scoreboard.
The Brewers have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 11 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 7th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 18th in home runs and 20th in slugging percentage. Overall, Milwaukee is averaging 4.2 runs per game (21st).
Christian Yelich leads the Brewers in hits this season, boasting a .287 batting average and .480 slugging percentage. His on-base percentage is an impressive .376.