Leading up to game two of this interleague battle, the Red Sox (54-47, 29-23 home) will send Brayan Bello to the mound to take on the Braves (64-35, 32-16 away) and Spencer Strider. Find out who I like to come out on top in this Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox matchup in Boston.
ATLANTA BRAVES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK
The Pick: Atlanta Braves -168
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, July 26th.
WHY BET THE ATLANTA BRAVES:
- In their last five games, the Braves have a record of 3-2.
- Coming into the game, the Red Sox have gone just 2-3 in their last five home games.
- Brayan Bello has given up six away runs across his last three starts.
CAN THE ATLANTA BRAVES PULL OUT A WIN AS ROAD FAVORITES?
This season, the Braves have played a total of 32 series and are above .500 at 23-7-2. On the road, Atlanta is 32-16 and 32-19 at home. Their overall record of 64-35 has the Braves sitting 1st in the NL East.
Atlanta Braves pitcher Spencer Strider has been a force to be reckoned with this season, boasting an impressive 11-3 record and 3.78 ERA. On the road, Strider has been even more dominant, posting a 3.25 ERA. However, his performance at home has been less stellar, with an ERA of 5.08. His WHIP for the season stands at 1.09 and opposing teams have only managed to hit .205 against him with a slugging percentage of .361.
Spencer Strider’s most recent performance saw him earn a quality start, surrendering four runs on four hits in six innings. Despite not being credited with the win, his team still managed to come away with a 7-5 victory over the Diamondbacks.
In their five most recent games, the Braves have put together a batting average of only .175, placing them 28th compared to the rest of the league. At 5.6 runs per game, Atlanta is 3rd in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .267 and OPS of .824 which has them 1st in baseball.
The Braves’ Ronald Acuña Jr. has been a major offensive contributor this season, boasting a .328 batting average and 58 RBIs. His 23 home runs have been a key part of the team’s success in 2023.
WILL THE BOSTON RED SOX TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Throughout the season, the Red Sox have taken advantage of playing at home, posting a series record of 10-6 at Fenway Park. Their overall record of 54-47 puts Boston 4th in the AL East. Against the runline, their overall record is 54-47 and 27-25 at home. This year’s Red Sox’s games have an over/under record of 53-46.
The Red Sox will turn to starter Brayan Bello, who has a 7-6 record over 16 appearances this season. His ERA is 3.60 with a K/9 of 7.8, and his FIP stands at 4.36 with an OBP of .295.
Boston’s loss in the game where Brayan Bello was on the mound resulted in a 6-5 final score. The right-hander went four innings, surrendering six earned runs off five hits.
For the season, the Red Sox’s offense is averaging 5.1 runs per game. Over their last ten games they have swung the bats well, sitting 4th in the league in scoring, with a total of 60 runs. Overall, Boston’s team batting average is .266, putting them 3rd in the MLB.
The Red Sox’s Masataka Yoshida is the team’s leader in hits this season, boasting a .320 batting average. He has also put up an impressive .506 slugging percentage and .382 on-base percentage.