Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick 10/06/19

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The St. Louis Cardinals are playing host to the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of the National League Divisional Series. The series is currently knotted up one game apiece. The matchup is scheduled to begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and will be televised on TBS..

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Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

St. Louis (getting +105 odds) is coming into this matchup as an underdog to Atlanta and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). There’s a runline of Braves -1.5 (+130) and Cardinals +1.5 (-150) for this matchup.

Including the regular season, the Braves are 98-66 SU and are 81-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 17.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, despite having lost 2.6 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 92-72 SU and 86-78 ATS. The team has gained 4.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

St. Louis games have an over/under record of 68-84-12 in 2019. Atlanta has an over/under record of 79-77-8.

Mike Soroka will get the start for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Soroka is 13-4 with a 2.68 ERA and 142 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.69 ERA against St. Louis this year (two starts).

The Cardinals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Adam Wainwright (14-10, 4.19 ERA), who’s got 153 strikeouts and 64 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Wainwright is 0-1 with two strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA in one start against Atlanta this year.

Behind a team slash line of .258/.329/.455, Atlanta has averaged 4.5 runs scored through two playoff games. The Cardinals are hitting .286/.342/.414 through two games and the team has managed 3.5 runs during the 2019 playoffs.

The Cardinals bullpen has registered a postseason ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.60, while Braves relievers have an 8.53 ERA and 2.37 WHIP.

Atlanta’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Ozzie Albies and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr., who collectively have launched 66 home runs. Albies is slashing .293/.350/.495 with 24 home runs, 86 RBIs, 104 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Acuna Jr. is slashing .282/.368/.525 with 42 homers, 103 RBIs, 128 runs and 37 steals.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and second baseman Kolten Wong have led the Cardinals’ hitters this year. Goldschmidt is slashing .261/.347/.481 with 35 home runs, 98 RBIs and 99 runs scored, while Wong’s line sits at .284/.361/.422 with 11 homers, 61 RBIs, 61 runs and 24 steals.

The Braves just took Game 2 of this series by blanking the Cardinals 3-0.

Atlanta Braves at St. Louis Cardinals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of Atlanta’s last seven games.

The Braves have an OPS of .790 this season and an OPS of .793 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .740 overall and .737 versus righties.

Atlanta has recorded 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.

The Braves have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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