Atlanta Braves at New York Mets Betting Pick 09/28/19

Amed Rosario and the New York Mets are set to host their divisional rival Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Odds

Both teams have matching -105 moneyline odds and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). This game currently has a runline of Braves -1.5 (+140) and Mets +1.5 (-160).

The Braves are 97-63 SU and have gone 79-80 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 20.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 0.2 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 84-76 SU and 82-77 ATS. The team’s lost 9.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.1 units ATS.

Mets games have had an over/under record of 80-66-13 in 2019. Atlanta has an over/under record of 77-74-8.

Right-hander Mike Foltynewicz is projected to start for Atlanta. Foltynewicz (8-5, 4.46 ERA) has racked up 100 punchouts in 113 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against New York this year.

The Mets are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Steven Matz (10-10, 4.37 ERA), who has 146 strikeouts and 47 walks as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Matz is 1-2 with 24 strikeouts and a 3.96 ERA over five starts against Atlanta this year.

New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.87 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.00 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 74 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.67.

The New York offense is putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .257/.355/.433 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Mets’ offense has been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Jeff McNeil. Rosario is hitting .286/.322/.433 with 15 home runs, 72 RBIs, 75 runs and 19 steals, and McNeil is batting .318 with 23 homers, 75 RBIs and 83 runs.

For the visiting squad, Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.18 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.23, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 9.29.

The Braves offense has slashed .258/.339/.453 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this year, including 5.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Ozzie Albies and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have led Atlanta’s hitters. Albies is slashing .298/.355/.506 with 24 home runs, 86 RBIs, 102 runs and 15 stolen bases. Acuna Jr. (.280/.365/.518) is up to 41 homers, 101 RBIs, 127 runs and 37 stolen bases.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER