Two teams that prefer to run the football, Head Coach Jeff Monken and the Army West Point Black Knights (+11) are set to face off against the No. 21 Navy Midshipmen (-11) at Lincoln Financial Field. This afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 3:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.
Army West Point at No. 21 Navy Betting Odds 12/14/2019
The line for this game is sitting at 11 points in favor of Navy. The Black Knights are currently getting +315 moneyline odds while the Midshipmen are -425. This tilt will probably present some in-game betting possibilities. The over/under has been set at 41.5 points.
The game’s total has moved downward after originally being set at 45. The opening line (-11) hasn’t shifted.
The Black Knights are 5-7 straight up (SU) while the Midshipmen are 9-2 SU. The less-than-stellar Black Knights are 5-7 against the spread (ATS) and are down 9.8 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 5-6-1.
The surprising Midshipmen have gained 5.3 units this season. The team is 8-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 7-4.
The Black Knights fell to Hawaii 52-31 in a blowout where the Black Knights completed 5-of-11 passes for 127 yards and two interceptions. Jemel Jones went three-for-4 for 43 yards and one interception while Christian Anderson completed one-of-four for 15 yards. Sandon McCoy (91 rushing yards on 15 attempts, two TDs) and Christian Anderson (114 yards on 12 carries) provided the ground attack while Michael Roberts (two receptions, 11 yards) and Artice Hobbs IV (one catch, 69 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
Navy is coming off of a 56-41 win over Houston two weeks ago. As a group, the team collectively completed two-of-four passes for 107 yards. Malcolm Perry went two-for-four for 107 yards while Carlinos Acie was -of- for yards. Perry (146 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) handled the running game while Keoni-Kordell Makekau (one receptions, 60 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Army West Point has run the ball on 85.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Navy has a rush percentage of 87.6 percent. The Black Knights have rushed for 312 yards/game and have 44 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Midshipmen are putting up 361 rush yards per contest and have 48 total rushing TDs.
If 2019 numbers are any indication, then it appears the Midshipmen may own an advantage in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, as their running backs has produced 6.0 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.4 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Black Knights have recorded 5.4 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.2 to opponents.
The Black Knights have averaged 87 yards through the air overall and have six passing scores so far. The Midshipmen have recorded 104 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass TDs.
Army West Point seems to hold an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s let opponents run for an average of 144 yards and pass for 194 yards per game. Navy has allowed 109.7 rushing yards per game and 232.6 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Black Knights have given up an ANY/A of 6.33 to opposing QBs, while the Midshipmen are allowing an ANY/A of 6.59.
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. has amassed 521 pass yards on the year. He’s completed 28-of-68 attempts with four passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Hopkins Jr.’s got a 5.38 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 2.80 over the past two outings.
Kelvin Hopkins Jr. (498 rushing yards, six rush TDs, 0 receiving yards on the year), Christian Anderson (196 rush yards, two rush TDs, 0 receiving yards) and Connor Slomka (573 rush yards, five rush TDs) have each played key roles lately.
In the home locker room, Malcolm Perry has produced 865 yards, five TDs and three INTs. Perry’s ANY/A sits at 10.46 for the season and 10.42 over his past two games.
We’re expecting the Midshipmen to dictate tempo by feeding the ball-carriers early and often. In addition to Malcolm Perry (zero receiving yards this season), Keoni-Kordell Makekau (142 rush yards, 116 receiving yards) and CJ Williams (233 rush yards, three rush TDs, 177 receiving yards, two TDs) have been key factors in the Navy offense.
When these two schools met a year ago, Army West Point won by a touchdown 17-10.
Army West Point Black Knights at Navy Midshipmen NCAA Tip
SU Winner – Army West Point, ATS Winner – Army West Point, O/U – Under
Team Betting Trends
The Navy defense has sacked opposing QBs 25 times this season. Army West Point has produced 20 sacks.
Navy has lost 12 fumbles this season while the Army West Point offense has lost 10.
The Black Knights offense has created three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Midshipmen have put up eight such plays.
The Army West Point defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Navy has given up 13 such plays.
The Army West Point offense has created 27 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Navy has created 41 such runs.
The Black Knights defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Midshipmen have given up 10 such runs.
The Over/Under for Navy’s previous game was set at 56. The over cashed in that 56-41 win over Houston.
In its last three matchups, Navy is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Over its last three contests, Army West Point is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Navy has won eight of its last nine games SU, with a -32-point defeat to Notre Dame on November 16th representing its only loss over that span.
The Over/Under for Army West Point’s last game was 55.5. The over cashed in the team’s 52-31 defeat to Hawaii.
Army West Point has averaged 7.3 yards per carry across its past three games and 7.9 over its last two.
Navy has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.4 over its last two.