Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Red Wolves versus the Warhawks? Tip off is at at 2:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Fant-Ewing Coliseum in Monroe, LA. Arkansas State is favored by -6 in this Sun Belt conference matchup the against Louisiana-Monroe. The over/under for the game is set at 147 points.


The Pick: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +6

This game will be played at Fant-Ewing Coliseum at 2:00 ET on Sunday, January 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Warhawks.
  • Not only will Louisiana-Monroe pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Red Wolves Make it Happen in Monroe?

Arkansas State enters this game with an 8-12 overall record, including a 5-4 mark in Sun Belt Conference play. The Red Wolves are 4-10 on the road this season, compared to a 5-2 record at home. So far, they have been favored in 11 of their 20 games, going 7-4 in those matchups.

In their last game, Arkansas State fell to Louisiana-Lafayette by a score of 81-75. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Red Wolves have gone just 3-7. On the season, their average scoring margin on the road is -4.9 points per game.

Arkansas State has an overall ATS record of 11-9-1 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-6-1. As the favorite, the Red Wolves are 6-5 vs. the spread this year. In their last three road games, Arkansas State is 1-2 vs. the spread.

Arkansas State’s over/under record for the season is 10-11 and today’s over/under line of 147 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (153.6). Over their last three games, their games have finished with an average of 147 points compared to their season average of 156.4 points per game.

In their latest game, Arkansas State offense put up 75 points against Louisiana-Lafayette. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.4% and made 6 threes. Offensively, the Red Wolves hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 284th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 205th in terms of percentage and 17th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Red Wolves’ defense is positioned 292nd in the country, permitting 78.6 points per game. Against Louisiana-Lafayette in their most recent game, the Arkansas State defense gave up a total of 81 points while allowing Louisiana-Lafayette to hit 48% of their shots.

Can Louisiana-Monroe Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

Despite a 6-12 record, Louisiana-Monroe has won two straight games and is 3-10 as an underdog. The Warhawks are 2-5 at home this season and have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games at home.

Most recently, Louisiana-Monroe beat South Alabama by a score of 80-66. So far this season, the Warhawks have an average scoring margin of -5.3 points per game at home.

As the underdog this season, Louisiana-Monroe has an ATS record of 7-6 and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 games as the underdog. However, their ATS mark at home this year is just 1-6 and they are 1-7 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games. Overall, the Warhawks have an ATS record of 7-9 this season.

Today’s over/under line of 147 is higher than the average over/under line in Louisiana-Monroe’s games this year (139.4 points). So far, 13 of their 18 games have finished with fewer points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 152 points compared to their season average of 137.1 points per game.

Louisiana-Monroe’s offense had a good outing, putting up 80 points against South Alabama. They achieved a 46.3% field goal percentage and went 13/21 from the free-throw line. The team’s top scorer is Tyreke Locure, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 10.7, while Jalen Bolden also maintains a PPG average of 8.8 leading up to the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Louisiana-Monroe defense is giving up an average of 72.8 points per contest. In their previous game vs. South Alabama, the Jaguars finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 66 points vs. Louisiana-Monroe.