Planning on watching today’s Red Wolves and Chanticleers game? Catch the action at The HTC Center in Conway, SC, as the Chanticleers hosts this showdown at 7:30 ET on ESPN+. Arkansas State come into this Sun Belt conference matchup as the -9.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 157.5 points.


The Pick: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +9.5

This game will be played at The HTC Center at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-66 in favor of the Chanticleers.
  • Not only will Coastal Carolina pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 157.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Red Wolves Pull Off a Win at Conway?

Arkansas State comes into this game as a 9.5-point favorite, and they have a record of 13-5 when favored this season. They have gone 6-11 on the road this year, and their average scoring differential on the road is -3.4.

Over their last ten games on the road, the Red Wolves are 4-6, and they have a record of 3-2 in their last five road games. They have won their last two games on the road.

Arkansas State has been a solid bet vs. the spread this season, going 19-10-1 overall. They have been even better as the favorite, going 12-6 vs. the spread in those games. On the road, their ATS mark is 9-7-1 this year.

Arkansas State’s over/under record for the season is 14-15-1, and today’s line of 157.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (153.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points, which is slightly below today’s over/under line.

The Arkansas State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 95 points vs. South Alabama. Overall their field goal percentage was 52.3% while connecting on 12 threes. Offensively, the Red Wolves have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 191st in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 111st in percentage and 15th in three-pointers made.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Arkansas State is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 78.1 points per game (296th). So far, the Arkansas State defense is giving up an average of 9.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (500th).

Can Coastal Carolina Lock in a Home Win?

The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers have struggled this season, as they enter this game with an 8-19 overall record. They have lost two straight games and have a 5-11 record in Sun Belt Conference action.

As the underdog, Coastal Carolina has gone 4-16 this season. They have been the underdog in 20 of their 27 games, compared to being favored in just five matchups.

Coastal Carolina has an ATS record of 14-10-1 this season and they are 8-6 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Chanticleers have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, Coastal Carolina is 3-0 ATS.

Coastal Carolina’s over/under record this season is 14-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 152 points. Today’s over/under line of 157.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (150.8). So far, 23 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and the average scoring total is 139 points.

Against Old Dominion, the Coastal Carolina had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 74.2 points per game. They scored 59 points and posted a field goal percentage of 37.7% in the game. Jacob Meyer is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Ginika Ojiako brings a PPG average of 12.6 into the game.

Currently, the Chanticleers’ defense holds the 304th rank in the nation, allowing 78.7 points per game. Coastal Carolina will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Old Dominion to just 37% shooting in their most recent game.