Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Red Wolves versus the Mountaineers? Tip off is at at 6:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Pensacola Bay Center in Pensacola, FL. This Sun Belt conference matchup has an over/under of 145.5 points, and Appalachian State is favored to win by -5.5 at home vs. Arkansas State.


The Pick: Appalachian State Mountaineers -5.5

This game will be played at Pensacola Bay Center at 6:00 ET on Sunday, March 10th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Mountaineers.
  • Not only will Appalachian State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Does Arkansas State Stand a Chance on the Road?

Arkansas State enters this game as a 5.5-point underdog, and they have gone 3-10 in games where they are the underdog. They are coming off a 89-62 win over Louisiana-Lafayette and have gone 17-15 overall this season.

On the road, the Red Wolves are 7-12 this season, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 road games. For the season, they have been outscored by an average of 3.7 points per game on the road.

Arkansas State has an overall ATS record of 21-11-1 this season. On the road, they are 10-8-1 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Red Wolves have gone 7-5-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Arkansas State is 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

Arkansas State has an over/under record of 14-18-1 this season and today’s over/under line of 145.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (153.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points, which is lower than today’s over/under line of 145.5. So far this season, 25 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

The Arkansas State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 89 points vs. Louisiana-Lafayette. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 9 threes. The Arkansas State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 27.5 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 35% of their looks from outside this season.

Looking at the Arkansas State defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 77.1 points per game (292nd). In their previous game vs. Louisiana-Lafayette, the Ragin’ Cajuns finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 62 points vs. Arkansas State.

Will the Mountaineers Win at Pensacola Bay Center?

Appalachian State has been dominant at home this season, going 15-1, and they will look to extend their 10-game home winning streak. The Mountaineers have gone 22-4 as the favorite this season, and they are coming off an impressive 80-57 win over Arkansas State.

Overall, Appalachian State has gone 27-5 this season, including a 16-2 record in Sun Belt play. They have won seven straight games and have a scoring margin of +14.2 points per game at home.

Appalachian State has been solid against the spread this season, posting a mark of 19-11. They have gone 10-6 vs. the spread at home and have an ATS record of 16-10 when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mountaineers are 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Appalachian State’s games this season (142.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

Appalachian State’s offense had a good outing, putting up 80 points against Arkansas State. They achieved a 49.2% field goal percentage and went 10/12 from the free-throw line. Tre’Von Spillers was the leading scorer for the Mountaineers, putting up 15 points. In addition, Donovan Gregory contributed 15 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Appalachian State defense is giving up an average of 66.5 points per contest. Appalachian State’s three-point defense is currently 91st in the country at 6.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.1% of their shots vs. Appalachian State.