Planning on watching today’s Red Wolves and Mountaineers game? Catch the action at Holmes Convocation Center in Boone, NC, as the Mountaineers hosts this showdown at 6:30 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Sun Belt conference game currently have Appalachian State as the -6 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 148 points.


The Pick: Appalachian State Mountaineers -6

This game will be played at Holmes Convocation Center at 6:30 ET on Friday, March 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Mountaineers.
  • Not only will Appalachian State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Red Wolves Lock in a Win at Boone?

Arkansas State has been playing well of late, winning six straight games and going 12-6 in conference play. The Red Wolves have an overall record of 16-14, including a 7-11 mark on the road.

As the underdog, Arkansas State is just 3-9 this season. They are currently on a three-game road winning streak and have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home.

Arkansas State has been solid against the spread this season, going 20-10-1. As the underdog, they have a record of 7-4-1 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Red Wolves have gone 7-2-1 vs. the spread. On the road, they have an ATS record of 10-7-1 and have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games.

Arkansas State’s over/under record for the season sits at 14-16-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 157.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 148 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (153.6). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 150 points compared to their season average of 157.1 points per game.

Against Coastal Carolina, the Arkansas State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 79.8 points per game. They scored 71 points and posted a field goal percentage of 39.4% in the game. Offensively, the Red Wolves hold a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, placing them 204th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 131st in terms of percentage and 16th in three-pointers made.

Facing Appalachian State, Arkansas State aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 77.5 points allowed per game (285th). The Arkansas State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 60 points and allowed Coastal Carolina to connect on 3 threes.

Is It the Mountaineers Game to Lose at Home?

Appalachian State has been absolutely dominant at home this season, going 14-1 with an average scoring margin of +13.6 points per game. They have won nine straight games at home, and their overall record is 25-5. In their last game, they defeated Old Dominion by a score of 89-64.

For the season, the Mountaineers have been favored in 25 of their 30 games, and their record as the favorite is 21-4. They have gone 15-2 in Sun Belt Conference play, and their win streak is up to six games.

Appalachian State has an overall ATS record of 18-11 this season, including a mark of 9-6 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mountaineers are 7-3 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record vs. the spread is 5-5 this season and 15-10 overall when favored.

Appalachian State’s over/under record on the season is 17-12. Today’s over/under line of 148 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (142.4). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 141 points.

Appalachian State is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 89 points versus Old Dominion. This output is higher than their season-average of 78.6 points per game. Offensively, the Mountaineers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 76th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 201st in terms of percentage and 248th in three-pointers made.

Appalachian State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 41st nationally, with 66.4 points allowed per game. In their previous game vs. Old Dominion, the Monarchs finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 64 points vs. Appalachian State.