Arkansas State @ Oregon College Football Pick
- Updated: August 31, 2012
NCAA Football Picks
Date/Time: September 1st, 7:30 P.M. ET
College Football Odds from BetDSI
Point Spread: Oregon -35.5
College Football Betting Game Trends
Arkansas State Red Wolves
- Arkansas State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arkansas State’s last 15 games
- Arkansas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- Arkansas State is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arkansas State’s last 9 games on the road
- Oregon is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon’s last 5 games
- Oregon is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
- Oregon is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon’s last 5 games at home
The offenses could be flying all over the field at Autzen Stadium on Saturday night for what should be a heck of a battle on the college football betting lines, as the Arkansas State Red Wolves duke it out with the Oregon Ducks.
The Red Wolves should have a good offense this year that is a lot of fun to watch with new Head Coach Gus Malzahn calling the shots. Malzahn is one of the elite offensive minds in the game, and he has a third year starting quarterback in Ryan Aplin to be counting on. Aplin and his Red Wolves scored 32.5 points per game last year in the up and down Sun Belt, but against elite competition, they really failed to get much of anything going. Still, Aplin rushed for 588 yards and threw for 3,588 more, accounting for a total of 29 TDs against 16 picks. This is one of the top teams once again in the Sun Belt, though there are a lot of holes that need to be filled. Arkansas State could be a surprising team in 2012, though we know that this isn’t a game that it has any chance of actually winning outright.
Oregon knows that this isn’t exactly going to be a measuring stick for the rest of the season, but it is still going to be a fun game where there could be stats aplenty. QB Marcus Mariota is going to be taking over the offense, and the star of the show is now going to be WR De’Anthony Thomas, who is going to be a getting a ton of reps both as a rusher and a receiver now that RB LaMichael James is in the NFL. RB Kenjon Barner probably isn’t the type of back that can carry the ball 25 times in every single game, but he will be the featured back that gets at least a dozen touches night in and night out. Defensively, there are a lot of potential stars on this unit, which returns eight starters. The Ducks are always challenged defensively thanks to how quickly their offense gets up and down the field, but most games, if they can hold their foes in the low-30s, that’s going to be enough to win, and usually win by a comfortable amoun of points. This would be no exception whatsoever.
The Ducks are clearly going to win this one, and they’re going to win it by quite a bit. Is more than five touchdowns too much, though? We have the feeling that most are going to jump on the Arkansas State bandwagon, knowing that this was a team that won 10 games a year ago, but if the defense for the Red Wolves can’t stop this Oregon attack, it’s hard seeing this one staying within six scores, though. Oregon 66 – Arkansas State 24