Looking to win big? The Sun Devils and Trojans face off at 11:00 ET on FS1. The Trojans are hosting the game at Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 144 points, and USC is favored by -8.5 to win at home against Arizona State.


The Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils +8.5

This game will be played at Galen Center at 11:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Trojans.
  • Even though we have USC winning straight-up, we like Arizona State at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 144 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Can The Sun Devils Secure a Road Victory?

Arizona State enters this game as an underdog, as they have been 15 times this season. So far, they have gone 6-9 in those games. On the road, the Sun Devils are 3-8 this season, and they have gone 1-4 in their last five games away from home.

Overall, Arizona State is 14-15 this season, and they are 8-9 in Pac-12 play. In their last game, they lost to Arizona by a score of 85-67. So far, the Sun Devils have gone 1-2 in their last three road games.

Arizona State has an ATS record of 12-16 this season, including a mark of 4-7 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Sun Devils are 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, Arizona State’s over/under record sits at 14-14, and today’s over/under line of 144 is nearly identical to the average over/under line in their games (144.2). This year, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line, and their last three games have an average scoring total of 150 points.

In their latest game, Arizona State offense put up 67 points against Arizona. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 35% and made 7 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Adam Miller with 16 points. Frankie Collins also added 15 points for the Sun Devils.

Coming into today’s game, the Arizona State defense is giving up an average of 73.7 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Arizona State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.3% this season.

Does USC Stand a Chance at Home?

USC will be looking to build off their 82-75 win over Washington. Over their last ten games, the Trojans have gone 4-6 at home.

On the season, USC has an average scoring differential of +4.3 points per game at home compared to -5.4 points per game on the road. They have been the favorite in 16 games this season, going 10-6.

As the favorite this season, USC has gone 9-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Trojans have a 6-4 ATS mark. At home, USC is 7-8 vs. the spread this year and they are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 home games.

This season, the over/under record for USC games is 18-10-1 with an average over/under line of 147.4 and an average score of 149.2 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 144 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this year. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

The USC offense is coming off a game where they scored 82 points against Washington. They posted a field goal percentage of 54.4% and connected on 8 threes. Isaiah Collier was the leading scorer for the Trojans, putting up 31 points. In addition, DJ Rodman contributed 17 points.

At this time, the Trojans’ defense is positioned 247th in the country, permitting 74.8 points per game. So far, the USC defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12 times per game (605th).