Looking to win big? The Sun Devils and Wildcats face off at 9:30 ET on PACN. The Wildcats are hosting the game at McKale Center in Tucson, AZ. This Pac-12 conference matchup has an over/under of 157.5 points, and Arizona is favored to win by -18.5 at home vs. Arizona State.


The Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils +18.5

This game will be played at McKale Center at 9:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Even though we have Arizona winning straight-up, we like Arizona State at +18.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 157.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Sun Devils Pull Off a Win at Tucson?

Arizona State has been much better at home this season, going 10-5 compared to 3-7 on the road. They have also been better as the underdog, going 5-7 compared to 8-5 as the favorite. Over their last ten road games, the Sun Devils have gone just 3-7.

Coming off a 79-61 win over Oregon State, Arizona State has won two straight games and has an overall record of 13-12. They are 7-7 in Pac-12 play and 6-5 in non-conference games.

Against the spread, Arizona State has gone 11-14 this season. On the road, they are 4-6 vs. the spread and 2-1 ATS in their last three road games. As the underdog, the Sun Devils have gone 6-6 vs. the spread this year and 2-1 ATS in their last three games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record in Arizona State games is 13-12 and the average scoring total in their games is 142.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 157.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (143.2). So far, 23 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 151 points.

The Arizona State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 79 points vs. Oregon State. Overall their field goal percentage was 57.7% while connecting on 7 threes. Jamiya Neal was the leading scorer for the Sun Devils, putting up 21 points. In addition, Adam Miller contributed 16 points.

The Sun Devils’ defense is presently ranked 173rd nationally, allowing an average of 72.1 points per contest. So far, the Arizona State defense is giving up an average of 9.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.2 times per game (429th).

Does Arizona Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

Arizona has been dominant at home this season, going a perfect 13-0, and they have won their last 10 games at home. Overall, the Wildcats are 19-5, and they have won five games in a row. So far, Arizona has been favored in 22 of their 24 games, and they are 17-5 in those games.

Last time out, the Wildcats beat Colorado by a score of 99-79. At home, Arizona has been winning by an average of 28.2 points per game, and their average scoring margin on the road is +2.9.

As the favorite, Arizona has gone 14-8 vs. the spread this season. At home, the Wildcats have an ATS mark of 10-3. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Arizona is 5-5 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Arizona games is 12-11-1 with an average over/under line of 158.3 and an average score of 163.5. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 157.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 178 points.

Arizona finished with 99 points in their game against Colorado. This total surpasses their season-average of 90.1 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Caleb Love who comes into today’s matchup averaging 18.9. Pelle Larsson also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.4.

At this time, the Wildcats’ defense is positioned 207th in the country, permitting 73.5 points per game. In today’s game vs. Arizona State, the Arizona defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Arizona made 22 free-throws vs. the Wildcats.