In this National League matchup, the Phillies (90-72, 49-32 home) play host to the Diamondbacks (84-78, 41-40 away) at Citizens Bank Park. Taking the mound for the Phillies is Aaron Nola, while the Diamondbacks will go with Merrill Kelly. Check out my pick for two of this Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks matchup.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +141
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 8:07 ET on Tuesday, October 17th.
WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:
- In their last five games, the Diamondbacks have a record of 4-1.
- Over their last ten games on the road, Arizona has a straight-up record of 7-3.
- Opponents are hitting just .176 against Merrill Kelly in his last five starts.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD
Looking to snap a four game losing streak, the Diamondbacks are in 2nd place in the NL West. Arizona’s overall record sits at 84-78 while going 41-40 on the road and 43-38 at home, respectively. So far, they have played in 55 series, and have gone 31-21-3.
Merrill Kelly is off to a strong start for the Diamondbacks, boasting a 12-8 record and a 3.29 ERA in 31 appearances. His 9.47 K/9 rate and .289 OBP are also impressive, as is his 3.85 FIP.
Merrill Kelly recently earned a victory in a 11-2 rout of the Dodgers, completing 6 1/3 frames without surrendering any runs or hits. The right-hander notched a quality start in his latest performance, continuing his impressive 2021 campaign.
Over their last five games, the Diamondbacks are ranked 21st in the league in scoring at 1.2 runs per game. Their season-long scoring average of 4.6 per contest puts them 14th in baseball. In terms of on-base percentage, Arizona is 10th, with an OBP currently sitting at .322. The team’s collective batting average is .250 (10th).
The Diamondbacks have seen Gabriel Moreno’s offensive production over the last ten games, with three home runs and a season-long total of seven. His batting average is currently at .284, making him a key contributor to the team’s offense.
WILL THE PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
Through 162 games, the Phillies have a record of 90-72. This mark includes going 31-19-4 across their 54 series. Currently, Philadelphia is 2nd in the NL East and have a 49-32 record at home while going 41-40 on the road. So far, the Phillies have gone 53-44 against teams with above .500 records.
Today marks Aaron Nola’s 35th outing of the season, and he has compiled a 12-9 record thus far. His ERA currently stands at 4.46, with an opposing OBP of .276. The right-hander has struck out 202 batters and holds a WHIP of 1.15. When playing away from home, Nola’s ERA is 5.89 compared to 3.28 in his home ballpark.
Aaron Nola earned a victory in his latest outing, as the Phillies defeated the Braves 10-2. The right-hander surrendered two runs and six hits over seven innings of work.
This season, the Phillies are 8th in the league at 4.9 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .234 (19th) leading to 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.2 walks per game compared to 9 strikeouts. Philadelphia’s on-base percentage of .327 has them 7th in the MLB.
Kyle Schwarber is the Phillies’ home-run king in 2023, having blasted 47 long balls and driving in 104 runs. His slugging percentage for the season is a robust .474.