The Mets (66-78, 36-34 home) will host the Diamondbacks (76-70, 38-35 away) in game three of this National League series. Starting for the Mets is Joey Lucchesi, while the Diamondbacks are giving the ball to Zac Gallen. Read on to see my pick for this showdown between New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets +122

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, September 13th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK METS:

  • The last five times the Mets have been the underdog, they are 3-2.
  • So far, the Mets are 4-1 against the Diamondbacks this season.
  • Zac Gallen has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 6.19 over his last three starts.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD

On a record of 76-70, the Diamondbacks come into today’s game 2nd in the NL West. When playing at home, they are 38-35 and 38-35 on the road. Arizona has played in 48 series thus far, and have gone 26-18-4.

Zac Gallen has been a force for the Arizona Diamondbacks this season, boasting a 15-7 record and 3.31 ERA. When pitching at home, he’s been even more impressive with an ERA of 2.30. His WHIP is 1.08 and opponents are hitting just .228 against him, with a slugging percentage of .366.

Zac Gallen will look to continue his impressive performance after throwing nine shutout innings while only permitting three hits in his last start. The Arizona Diamondbacks went on to defeat the Chicago Cubs 1-0 as a result of his stellar outing.

Having gone deep 1 time in their last five games, the Diamondbacks are 10th in that span. At 4.6 runs per game, Arizona is 13th in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .252 while hitting a total of 157 home runs (18th).

Tommy Pham has been a consistent presence in the Arizona lineup this season, boasting a .265 batting average and slugging .475. In the team’s last ten games, he has been particularly impressive, leading the squad with hits and hitting at a .328 clip.

WILL THE NEW YORK METS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Throughout the season, the Mets have taken advantage of playing at home, posting a series record of 11-10 at Citi Field. Their overall record of 66-78 puts New York 4th in the NL East. Against the runline, their overall record is 60-84 and 32-38 at home. This year’s Mets’ games have an over/under record of 58-78.

Joey Lucchesi has been impressive in his 2023 campaign thus far, boasting a 2-0 record and 3.54 ERA. On the road, he has been especially dominant with a 2-0 mark and 3.38 ERA in four appearances. At home, however, he is yet to earn a win while his ERA stands at 5.91. His season-long WHIP is 1.29 and opponents are hitting .248 against him with a slugging percentage of .419.

Joey Lucchesi earned the win for the Mets in their 7-1 victory over the Cardinals, surrendering no runs on four hits in his latest outing.

In their five most recent games, the Mets have put together a batting average of only .206, placing them 25th compared to the rest of the league. At 4.4 runs per game, New York is 20th in the MLB. This figure has come on a team batting average of .238 and OPS of .724 which has them 16th in baseball.

Brandon Nimmo has been a key contributor to the Mets’ offense this season, boasting a .266 batting average and slugging .461. Over the last ten games, he has been particularly impressive, leading New York in hits and hitting at a .365 clip.