It’s unusual to have all 30 teams playing on Mondays in the MLB, but that will be the case this Monday, October 3, when we have an NFC encounter in Wisconsin, so take a look at the best Diamondbacks vs. Brewers betting pick and odds.

Arizona and Milwaukee will play the first of a three-game series at American Family Field, and the Brewers are -229 moneyline favorites on BetOnline Sportsbook, while the total is set at 7.5 runs. These NL rivals have met four times this season, and the Diamondbacks lead 3-1.

Diamondbacks can be relaxed in Milwaukee

The Arizona Diamondbacks gave up on this season a while ago and they didn’t play at 100% in the last month or so. In their defense, the D-Backs mostly did face the divisional rivals in that span. Their latest series was against the San Francisco Giants; after losing the opening game 10-4, Arizona responded with an 8-4 victory. Game 3 of that series is played at the time of writing.

The Diamondbacks scored five runs in the 7th inning and had 12 hits in total opposite San Francisco’s eight. Sergio Alcantara was a monster on offense with four RBIs, while Josh Rojas contributed with a pair of RBIs. Drey Jameson improved to a 3-0 record after allowing two runs on six hits with seven strikeouts and two walks over 6.0 innings.

Tommy Henry (3-4) will get his 9th start of the year when he faces the Brewers on Monday. The 25-year-old left-hander has a weak 5.98 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, and 31/20 K/BB ratio in 40.2 innings.

Brewers lost the series to the Marlins

The Milwaukee Brewers are chasing a wildcard spot, but they still lost the series against lowly Miami Marlins at home. With only three games to go in the regular season, the Brewers now must sweep the D-Backs in this series and hope for good results elsewhere and some losses for San Diego and Philadelphia.

It took 12 innings for the Marlins to beat the Brewers 4-3 in Game 4. Milwaukee was down 2-0 but scored in the 8th and 9th to force extra innings; however, they failed to get a crucial win. Freddy Peralta (4-4) was excellent during 4.0 scoreless innings as he allowed only two hits and had four strikeouts with no walks. Trevor Gott (3-3) took a loss in the end.

Brandon Woodruff (13-4) will take on the mound for the 27th time this year when he meets Arizona on Monday. The 29-year-old right-hander owns a rock-solid 3.05 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 183/41 K/BB ratio across 147.1 innings of work.

Trends:

Arizona:

  • 0-4 in the last four during game 1 of a series
  • 4-12 in the last 16 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5

Milwaukee:

  • 6-0 in the last six games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • 9-4 in the last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

Tommy Henry had just two starts in September and allowed five runs in each, and a rookie pitcher is not reliable, but he’s young and will learn a lot this season. Brandon Woodruff, on the other hand, surrendered more than one run only once in his previous five starts. The Brewers are below-average when it comes to batting against southpaws as they average only .220 with 3.93 runs per nine innings. However, they are still in playoff contention and this is a must-win game for Milwaukee, so I am backing them to get it.

Pick: Take the Brewers at -1.5 Run Line (-110)

The Total

Although Woodruff didn’t play well in his lone start against Arizona this season as he suffered a loss with a 7.94 ERA in 5.2 innings, I am impressed with his recent performances. I don’t think he will allow more than two runs in this one, but I can’t say the same for the rookie Henry, who has been struggling of late. I think the Brewers will score multiple runs off of Henry, but I am still going with a low-scoring affair. Under is 7-1 in the last eight H2H meetings, while Under is 10-4 in the previous 14 H2H duels in Milwaukee.

Pick: Go Under 7.5 runs (-110)