In this National League matchup, the Brewers (92-70, 49-32 home) play host to the Diamondbacks (84-78, 41-40 away) at American Family Field. Taking the mound for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, while the Diamondbacks will go with Zac Gallen. Check out my pick for two of this Milwaukee Brewers and Arizona Diamondbacks matchup.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -132

This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:08 ET on Wednesday, October 4th.

WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS:

  • The Brewers are 6-4 straight-up in their ten most recent games as the favorite.
  • Milwaukee is taking on the Diamondbacks at the right time, as the Diamondbacks have dropped four straight games.
  • Across Freddy Peralta’s 30 starts, the Brewers have put together a record of 17-13.

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS LOOK TO CONTINUE WINNING WAYS ON THE ROAD

On a record of 84-78, the Diamondbacks are 2nd in the NL West. At home, they have put together a win percent of 53.1% compared to 50.6% on the road. This season, Arizona has gone 41-50 against teams who are above .500, and hold an overall series record of 28-21-3.

Zac Gallen is making his 35th start of the season, boasting a 17-9 record. His ERA stands at 3.47 with a batting average allowed of .234. On the road, Gallen has gone 5-6 with an ERA of 4.97, while at home he is 12-3 with an ERA of 2.64. Opposing teams have a slugging percentage of .377 against him this season.

Zac Gallen’s most recent start ended in a quality outing, yet the Diamondbacks still fell to the Astros 2-1. The right-hander allowed seven hits over 6 1/3 innings, resulting in two earned runs.

With a season-long average of 4.6 runs per game, the Diamondbacks are the 14th ranked scoring offense this season. As a team, they are batting .250, with an OBP of .322. In Arizona’s last ten games, they are 12th in home runs, having gone deep six times in that span.

Corbin Carroll has been a consistent presence in the Arizona lineup this season, boasting a .285 batting average and slugging .506. During the team’s last ten games, he has been on fire at the plate, leading the Diamondbacks in hits with a .344 average.

WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

The Brewers enter today’s game with an overall record of 92-70 which includes going 51-39 against teams with above .500 records. As of today, they are 1st in the NL Central. Across their 51 series, Milwaukee is 30-19-2 and have records of 43-38 and 49-32 on the road and at home, respectively.

Milwaukee’s Freddy Peralta will take the mound today with the hope of limiting home-runs, an issue he has faced in six consecutive outings. The right-hander has compiled a 12-10 record and 3.86 ERA this season, with 210 strikeouts and an impressive 11.41 K/9 rate. Additionally, he has averaged 2.93 walks per nine innings pitched.

Freddy Peralta will attempt to rebound from a subpar performance against the Marlins. In Milwaukee’s 6-1 defeat, the right-hander yielded four runs in three innings of labor.

Offensively, Milwaukee is ranked 16th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. When looking over their last ten matchups, the Brewers averaged 4 runs per contest, which is 9th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Milwaukee is 21st in all of baseball, with a total of 165 home runs.

Over the Brewers’ past five contests, Willy Adames has been on fire at the plate, leading the team in hits and batting .437. For the year, Adames is hitting .217 with 80 RBIs.