Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick 07/12/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-07-12

Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks are traveling east to Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals. Fox Sports Arizona will televise this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Vegas has listed St. Louis (-120) as the favorite over Arizona (+110). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. There’s a runline of Diamondbacks +1.5 (-190) and Cardinals -1.5 (+165) for this matchup.

The Cardinals are 44-44 straight up (SU) and 43-45 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 10.7 units for moneyline bettors and 4.6 units ATS. St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Diamondbacks have gone 46-45 SU this year and are 53-38 ATS. They’ve accumulated 2.8 units for moneyline bettors and 12.6 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 38-43-7 so far in 2019. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 44-41-6.

Southpaw Robbie Ray is the probable starter for the visiting Diamondbacks. Ray is 6-6 with a 3.96 ERA and 137 strikeouts. This is his first start against St. Louis this year. He made two starts against the Cardinals in 2018, compiling a 1-1 record against them with a 5.73 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The Cardinals are sending righty Adam Wainwright (5-7, 4.31 ERA) to the mound. Wainwright has 82 strikeouts and 36 walks to his name as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Wainwright only made one start against the Diamondbacks in 2018 (0-1, 7.36 ERA and three strikeouts across 3.2 innings).

As a unit, St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.33 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.86 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.3 K/9.

The St. Louis hitters have put up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .285/.335/.459 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Paul DeJong and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt have paced the Cardinals’ batters this year. DeJong is slashing .258/.343/.442 with 13 home runs, 36 RBIs and 55 runs scored, while Goldschmidt’s line is .254/.343/.426 with 16 homers, 37 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

For the visitors, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.14 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.45, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

Diamondbacks hitters have slashed .259/.325/.447 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar have led Arizona’s hitters. Marte is slashing .311/.359/.559 with 20 home runs, 53 RBIs and 58 runs scored, while Escobar is hitting .296/.353/.543 with 18 homers, 67 RBIs and 58 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have gained 0.5 units and are 38-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Diamondbacks, O/U – OVER


Betting Trends

The under has cashed in three of St. Louis’ last seven games.

The Diamondbacks have a team OPS of .772 this season and an OPS of .740 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .722 overall and .718 against righties.

Arizona has recorded 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.2 over its last five.

The Diamondbacks have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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