Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Betting Pick 09/22/19

Eric Hosmer and the San Diego Padres will look to avoid losing their fourth straight game when they play host to the Arizona Diamondbacks at PETCO Park. The game gets underway 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Arizona is in line to televise the action.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Each team has equal moneyline odds (-105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). There’s a runline of Diamondbacks -1.5 (+140) and Padres +1.5 (-160) for this matchup.

The Diamondbacks are 80-75 SU and are 86-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 3.4 units for moneyline bettors and 12.0 units ATS. Arizona is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 69-86 SU and 71-83 ATS. The team’s lost 19.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 21.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Neither squad has been a strong over/under bet this year. Padres games have an over/under record of 73-73-8 in 2019. The Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 70-72-12.

Southpaw Robbie Ray will get the nod for the visiting D-backs. Ray (12-8, 4.20 ERA) has recorded 215 strikeouts in 163 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres are turning to righty Garrett Richards (0-1, 7.36 ERA), who’s got five punchouts and zero walks as well as a WHIP of 1.36. Richards has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and did not re a start against them in 2018.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.64 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.66 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 69 games against NL West foes, Padres starters have an ERA of 5.25 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.28.

The San Diego offense has put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 1.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .160/.229/.244 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the Padres’ offense this year. Hosmer is slashing .273/.320/.434 with 21 home runs, 97 RBIs and 71 runs scored, while Machado is batting .252 with 30 homers, 82 RBIs and 79 runs.

In the other dugout, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.64 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.39, along with a K/9 of 8.66.

The Diamondbacks offense has slashed .253/.325/.437 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar have paced Arizona’s offense. Marte is hitting .329/.389/.592 with 32 home runs, 92 RBIs and 97 runs scored, while Escobar is hitting .271/.322/.525 with 35 homers, 117 RBIs and 94 runs scored.

The Diamondbacks have lost 2.5 units and are 63-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 60 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 6.2 units and are 17-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve cashed the under.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER