Looking to win big? The Mountaineers and Dukes face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Dukes are hosting the game at Atlantic Union Bank Center in Harrisonburg, VA. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 149 points, and the Dukes are favored to win at home against the Mountaineers.


The Pick: James Madison Dukes -6

This game will be played at Atlantic Union Bank Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-66 in favor of the Dukes.
  • Not only will James Madison pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Appalachian State Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?

Appalachian State is 12-4 overall and 3-1 in Sun Belt play. On the road, the Mountaineers are 5-3, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three road games.

So far this season, Appalachian State has been the underdog in three games, going 2-1 in those contests. For the year, the Mountaineers have been the underdog 3 times and have gone 2-1.

Appalachian State has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 9-6. On the road, the Mountaineers have an ATS mark of 5-3. Over their last 3 road games, they are 2-1 vs. the spread. As the underdog, App State has gone 2-1 vs. the spread this year and over their last 3 games as the underdog, they are 2-1 vs. the spread.

Appalachian State’s over/under record for the season is 7-8 and the average over/under line in their games is 140.7. Today’s over/under line of 149 is higher than the average scoring in their games this year (141.1) and the average scoring in their last three games (139).

In their recent matchup, the Appalachian State offense ended with 70 points against Coastal Carolina. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.2% and made 7 threes. The Appalachian State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.1 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 30% of their looks from outside this season.

In the current season, the Appalachian State defense has excelled, sitting 25th in the nation by allowing 63.6 points per game. Appalachian State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Coastal Carolina to just 31% shooting in their most recent game.

Can the Dukes Hold Strong at Home?

James Madison comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 13 of their 16 games this season. They have a record of 12-1 in those games, and their average scoring margin at home is +21.5 points per game, compared to +9.8 on the road.

The Dukes have been nearly unbeatable at home, as they have won all six of their games so far this season. In their last 10 home games, they have gone 9-1.

James Madison’s ATS record this season is 11-4, and they have gone 4-2 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Dukes are 7-3 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for James Madison games is 7-7-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 153.7 and the average scoring total is 157.7. Today’s over/under line of 149 is lower than the average OU line in their games. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 141 points and their OU record during this stretch is 0-3.

The Dukes’ offense finished with 89 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 88.8 points per contest. Noah Freidel led the scoring for the Dukes, contributing 26 points. Additionally, Terrence Edwards chipped in with 14 points.

On the defensive side, James Madison is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 70.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. South Alabama, the Jaguars finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 55 points vs. James Madison.