Appalachian State at Louisiana College Football Betting Pick 10/9/19


One winning streak will get to five games as Head Coach Billy Napier and the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns face off against Coach Eli Drinkwitz and the Appalachian State Mountaineers. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN2 and the opening kickoff for this pivotal SBC game is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET.

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Appalachian State vs. Louisiana Betting Odds 10/9/2019

Louisiana is giving up 2 points in this SBC matchup. The Mountaineers are currently being given +100 moneyline odds while the Ragin’ Cajuns are -120. This SBC tilt will likely present multiple live betting scenarios. The over/under is set at 68.5 points.

The game’s total has moved downward after originally being set at 69.5. The opening line has not budged.

The Mountaineers are 4-0 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-1 SU overall and 1-0 SU in conference play. Each team has rewarded gamblers this year as the Mountaineers have recorded 2.2 units and the Ragin’ Cajuns are ahead 2.4 units.

Each team comes into the matchup on a four-game winning streak. The Mountaineers are looking to stay undefeated after a 56-37 victory over Coastal Carolina on September 28. Zac Thomas completed 19-of-23 passes for 246 yards, two scores and one interception. Darrynton Evans (60 rushing yards on 15 attempts, two TDs) and Daetrich Harrington (71 yards on 11 carries, one TD) mounted the ground attack while Malik Williams (six receptions, 75 yards) and Thomas Hennigan (five catches, 89 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Louisiana just picked up a 37-24 win over Georgia Southern two weeks ago. Levi Lewis completed 11-of-18 passes for 165 yards and one touchdown. Trey Ragas (131 yards on 16 rush attempts, two TDs) and Elijah Mitchell (81 yards on 14 carries, two TDs) spearheaded the running game while Jamal Bell (three receptions, 35 yards) and Ja’Marcus Bradley (two catches, 22 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the win.

Each of these teams has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Appalachian State’s run the ball on 61.3 percent of its offensive possessions while Louisiana has a rush percentage of 60.1. The Mountaineers have rushed for 225 yards/game and have 14 scores on the ground this year. The Ragin’ Cajuns are averaging 314 rushing yards per contest and have 22 total rush TDs.

The Mountaineers have logged 205 yards/game through the air overall and have eight passing scores so far. The Ragin’ Cajuns have recorded 226 pass yards per game and have nine total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Appalachian State has allowed 165 rush yards and 255 pass yards per game. Louisiana has allowed 158.6 yards per game on the ground and 186.6 to opposing teams in the air. The Ragin’ Cajuns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.44 to opponents, while the Mountaineers have given up a 6.85 ANY/A.

Thomas is up to 578 pass yards this year. He’s connected on 49-of-67 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and only one interception. Thomas has a 9.10 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.29 over the last two outings.

Levi Lewis has tallied 792 yards, six TDs and two INTs for Louisiana. His ANY/A stands at 8.35 for the year and 8.08 over his last two games.

Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Free Pick

SU Winner – Louisiana, ATS Winner – Louisiana, O/U – Under


Betting Trends

Each team defense has created 11 sacks this year.

The Louisiana offense has lost seven fumbles in 2019 while the Appalachian State offense has yet to lose any.

The Mountaineers offense has registered four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Ragin’ Cajuns have put up three such plays.

The Appalachian State defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Louisiana has given up one such play.

The Appalachian State offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Louisiana has created 18 such runs.

Both teams have allowed six rushing plays of 20 yards or more and 22 running plays of 10+ yards.

The O/U for Louisiana’s previous game was set at 56. The over cashed in that 37-24 win over Georgia Southern.

In its last three games, Louisiana is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

Over its last three contests, Appalachian State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Appalachian State’s last game was set at 59. The over cashed in the team’s 56-37 triumph over Coastal Carolina.

Appalachian State has produced 5.4 yards per carry over its past three contests and 4.6 over its last two.

Louisiana has averaged 7.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 6.4 over its past two.

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