Looking to win big? The Ducks and Lightning face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lightning are hosting the game at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 6 goals, with the Lightning being the favored team playing at home against the Ducks.
ANAHEIM DUCKS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:
- With the Lightning being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Lightning.
- Take the Lightning on the moneyline
- On the spread, we like Ducks (+1.5)
Will the Ducks Exceed Expectations on the Road?
On the season, Anaheim has gone 14-26-1 and is in 14th place in the Western Conference. When playing in the Western Conference, the Ducks have gone 7-16 on the year. On the road, Anaheim has gone 8-10-0 this season.
Over their last ten games, the Ducks have gone just 2-8 and have lost four straight games. As the underdog, Anaheim has gone 13-23-1 this year.
On the road this season, the Ducks have a puck line record of 11-7, and their average scoring margin is at -0.8 goals per game. So far, they have been the underdog in 37 games and have a puck line record of 22-15 as the underdog.
Across their last ten road games, the Ducks have a puck line record of 5-5, and their average scoring margin is at -0.8 goals per game. For the season, they have 7 wins by multiple goals and 16 losses by more than one goal.
For the season, Anaheim’s games have finished with an average of 6 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.4. Overall, the Ducks have an over/under record of 18-21-2.
Anaheim has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 4. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 2-1.
When looking at their offense, the Ducks have an average of 2.5 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 29th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 26th in the league. The Anaheim offense is ranked 19th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 12th in the NHL.
The leading scorer for Anaheim’s offense is Frank Vatrano. Coming into the game he has 20 goals, ranking 19th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 10 assists so far.
In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 11th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 5th in shutouts, achieving 3 shutouts.
Goalie Lukas Dostal gets the start and has made 16 starts this season. His record at this point is 7-9, and his save percentage is 0.714%.
Can Tampa Bay Pull Off a Home Win?
At home this season, Tampa Bay has a record of 13-5-3 and has won three straight games as the favorite. In the Eastern Conference standings, the Lightning are in 8th place and have gone 9-11 against conference opponents. Overall, Tampa Bay has a record of 21-17-5 and has won two straight games.
Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 6-4 and have been the favorite in 22 of their 43 games this season. Against teams from the Atlantic Division, Tampa Bay has a record of 4-7.
At home this season, the Lightning have a puck line record of 12-9, and their average scoring margin per game is +.7 goals. So far, Tampa Bay has 13 wins by multiple goals.
Overall, the team’s puck line record is 20-23, and their average scoring differential is -.2 goals per game. In their last ten home games, the Lightning have gone just 5-5 vs. the puck line.
The average goal total for Tampa Bay’s games is sitting at 6.7. The average over/under line for the season is 6.5. The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 19-20-4.
When looking at their past three road matchups, Anaheim has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
For their offensive performance, the Lightning come in averaging 3.3 goals per game this season, which is 6th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 13th in the league. So far this year, the Lightning are 13-11 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 8-5 in games with fewer shots on goal.
Tampa Bay’s current leading scorer is Nikita Kucherov. This season, he has 28 goals, which puts him 3rd in the NHL. Kucherov also comes into the game with 41 assists.
Defensively, the Lightning come into the season ranked 11th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30 shots per game against Tampa Bay. For the season, they are ranked 5th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.
Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy comes into the game having made 20 starts this season. So far, his record is 11-9 and he has a save percentage of 0.68%.