Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Eagles and Retrievers. The game is starting at 7:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Retrievers at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, MD. Get ready to place your bets! The Eagles are favored in this non-conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 157 points.

AMERICAN EAGLES VS UMBC RETRIEVERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: UMBC Retrievers +1.5

This game will be played at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena at 7:30 ET on Friday, December 29th.

WHY BET THE UMBC RETRIEVERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 78-65 in favor of the Retrievers.
  • Not only will UMBC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 157 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can American Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?

As American gets ready for their 13th game of the season, they currently hold a 5-7 overall record. In their previous ten road games, including those from last year, American has a 2-8 record. Entering today’s game, American has a 5-6 record against the spread (ATS). On the road, the Eagles are 3-4 vs. the spread, while at home they are 2-2 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving American have had an average of 144.3 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 138.7 points. Their over/under record is 6-5-0. When analyzing the Eagles’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 140 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.

The American offense is coming off a game in which they scored 55 points vs. Virginia Tech. Overall their field goal percentage was 38.9% while connecting on 8 threes. Matt Rogers is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.8. Meanwhile, Elijah Stephens also brings a PPG average of 11.3 into the game.

At present, the Eagles’ defense is nationally ranked 223rd, allowing 75.3 points per game. American’s three-point defense is currently 111st in the country at 7.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 47.8% of their shots vs. American.

Will UMBC Come Through as Home Underdogs?

UMBC will face American in their 15th game of the season, coming in with a record of 5-9. So far this season, all of the Retrievers’ games have been played on the road. UMBC has a winning ATS record, sitting above .500 at 7-5. When playing away, the Retrievers are .500 vs. the spread at 4-4, while at home they are 3-1 ATS.

Up to this point, games involving UMBC have had an average of 163.5 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 154.9 points. Their over/under record is 9-3-0. The Retrievers’ last five games have culminated with an average of 164 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

The UMBC offense is coming off a game where they scored 81 points against Iowa. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.4% and connected on 13 threes. Dion Brown is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16.9 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Khydarius Smith brings a PPG average of 13.6 into the game.

The Retrievers’ defense is presently ranked 273rd nationally, allowing an average of 82.9 points per contest. So far, the UMBC defense is giving up an average of 9.7 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14.4 times per game (664th).